The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 106SyracuseNEUTRAL | W 45–26 | +12.0 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs East Tennessee State FCS | W 72–17 | +10.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 8GeorgiaCONF | L 41–44 | +8.1 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 125UAB | W 56–24 | +12.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 71Mississippi StateCONF | W 41–34 | +9.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 55ArkansasCONF | W 34–31 | +2.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 15AlabamaCONF | L 20–37 | -2.7 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 66KentuckyCONF | W 56–34 | +25.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 21OklahomaCONF | L 27–33 | +0.6 | — | ABC |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 127New Mexico State | W 42–9 | +12.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 53FloridaCONF | W 31–11 | +25.3 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 11VanderbiltCONF | L 24–45 | -11.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 27IllinoisNEUTRAL | L 28–30 | +5.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.8% | 4th | 46.6% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 53.5% | 3rd | 50.9% | 132nd |
| Passing success rate | 50.0% | 9th | 42.3% | 81st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 82nd | 15.1% | 93rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 69th | 9.5% | 58th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 41st | 3.16 | 95th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.9% | 53rd | 43.2% | 125th |
| Stuff rate | 11.9% | 6th | 17.8% | 59th |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 40th | 6.3% | 41st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 50.7% | 11th | 44.8% | 109th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.9% | 67th | 67.6% | 116th |
| Havoc rate | 8.8% | 10th | 12.0% | 64th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.8 | 8th | 31.3 | 102nd |
| Yards / game | 466.3 | 7th | 396.9 | 92nd |
| Yards / play | 6.35 | 20th | 5.34 | 62nd |
| Pass yards / game | 292.9 | 6th | 226.4 | 105th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.71 | 13th | 7.21 | 70th |
| Completion % | 66.8% | 19th | 66.0% | 118th |
| Rush yards / game | 173.5 | 51st | 152.4 | 73rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.55 | 53rd | 4.06 | 58th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.3% | 10th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.69 | 53rd | 2.85 | 15th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.9 | 72nd | — | — |
85 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →