SEC · 2025 · Final

Mississippi State Bulldogs 2025

5-81-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#71
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
-0.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.5
37th in FBS
Defense
-3.6
98th in FBS
Schedule
+3.0
29th toughest
Preseason
-2.7
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-0.1 now, -2.7 preseason · up 25 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#69

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30@102Southern MissW 34–17+13.5—ESPN
2Sep 6vs45Arizona StateW 24–20+5.1—ESPN2
3Sep 13vsAlcorn State FCSW 63–0+12.8—ESPN+
4Sep 20vs119Northern IllinoisW 38–10+11.7—SEC Network
5Sep 27vs25TennesseeCONFL 34–41-1.8—SEC Network
6Oct 4@10Texas A&MCONFL 9–31-6.3—SEC Network
7—Bye
8Oct 18@53FloridaCONFL 21–23+3.3—SEC Network
9Oct 25vs16TexasCONFL 38–45+1.0—SEC Network
10Nov 1@55ArkansasCONFW 38–35+8.1—SEC Network
11Nov 8vs8GeorgiaCONFL 21–41-8.9—ESPN
12Nov 15@28MissouriCONFL 27–49-11.8—SEC Network
13—Bye
14Nov 28vs9Ole MissCONFL 19–38-8.1—ABC
BowlsJan 2vs57Wake ForestNEUTRALL 29–43-11.8—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.1%83rd44.8%100th
Rushing success rate45.0%60th48.5%122nd
Passing success rate38.9%99th40.5%63rd
Explosive run rate14.0%66th15.7%107th
Explosive pass rate10.6%59th11.9%112th
Line yards / carry3.0275th3.45131st
Opportunity rate39.9%53rd44.6%133rd
Stuff rate17.4%74th13.6%122nd
Sack rate9.1%129th5.0%95th
3rd-down conversion42.7%50th43.1%100th
Red-zone TD rate64.4%33rd59.0%83rd
Havoc rate13.2%111th10.2%107th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.257th30.295th
Yards / game399.156th409.3107th
Yards / play5.2886th5.82110th
Pass yards / game241.254th212.378th
Yards / pass att.8.0632nd7.3281st
Completion %62.5%63rd60.4%50th
Rush yards / game158.067th186.3117th
Yards / carry3.74106th4.87117th
3rd-down conv. %41.8%45th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1550th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.46131st1.62104th
Penalty yards / game61.5108th——

Players

77 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

77 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →