
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 102Southern Miss | W 34–17 | +13.5 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 45Arizona State | W 24–20 | +5.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Alcorn State FCS | W 63–0 | +12.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 119Northern Illinois | W 38–10 | +11.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 25TennesseeCONF | L 34–41 | -1.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 10Texas A&MCONF | L 9–31 | -6.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 53FloridaCONF | L 21–23 | +3.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 16TexasCONF | L 38–45 | +1.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 55ArkansasCONF | W 38–35 | +8.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 8GeorgiaCONF | L 21–41 | -8.9 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 28MissouriCONF | L 27–49 | -11.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 9Ole MissCONF | L 19–38 | -8.1 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 57Wake ForestNEUTRAL | L 29–43 | -11.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 83rd | 44.8% | 100th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.0% | 60th | 48.5% | 122nd |
| Passing success rate | 38.9% | 99th | 40.5% | 63rd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.0% | 66th | 15.7% | 107th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 59th | 11.9% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 75th | 3.45 | 131st |
| Opportunity rate | 39.9% | 53rd | 44.6% | 133rd |
| Stuff rate | 17.4% | 74th | 13.6% | 122nd |
| Sack rate | 9.1% | 129th | 5.0% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.7% | 50th | 43.1% | 100th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.4% | 33rd | 59.0% | 83rd |
| Havoc rate | 13.2% | 111th | 10.2% | 107th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.2 | 57th | 30.2 | 95th |
| Yards / game | 399.1 | 56th | 409.3 | 107th |
| Yards / play | 5.28 | 86th | 5.82 | 110th |
| Pass yards / game | 241.2 | 54th | 212.3 | 78th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.06 | 32nd | 7.32 | 81st |
| Completion % | 62.5% | 63rd | 60.4% | 50th |
| Rush yards / game | 158.0 | 67th | 186.3 | 117th |
| Yards / carry | 3.74 | 106th | 4.87 | 117th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.8% | 45th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.46 | 131st | 1.62 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.5 | 108th | — | — |
77 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →