
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 88Kennesaw State | W 10–9 | -5.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Western Carolina FCS | W 42–10 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 11 | vs 42NC StateCONF | L 24–34 | -8.4 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 38Georgia TechCONF | L 29–30 | +1.3 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 91Virginia TechCONF | W 30–23 | +5.7 | — | CW |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 118Oregon State | W 39–14 | +16.5 | — | CW |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 20SMUCONF | W 13–12 | +7.9 | — | CW |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 43Florida StateCONF | L 7–42 | -20.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 30VirginiaCONF | W 16–9 | +16.4 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 97North CarolinaCONF | W 28–12 | +7.4 | — | CW |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 112Delaware | W 52–14 | +17.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 44DukeCONF | L 32–49 | -9.9 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 71Mississippi StateNEUTRAL | W 43–29 | +13.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 101st | 35.3% | 8th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.6% | 91st | 37.9% | 12th |
| Passing success rate | 37.1% | 108th | 33.1% | 8th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.9% | 47th | 11.4% | 29th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.4% | 36th | 7.1% | 8th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.09 | 60th | 2.60 | 9th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.8% | 115th | 32.2% | 11th |
| Stuff rate | 14.6% | 33rd | 25.1% | 4th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 8th | 6.0% | 54th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.0% | 58th | 34.8% | 22nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.6% | 79th | 45.2% | 18th |
| Havoc rate | 9.8% | 25th | 13.7% | 24th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.5 | 53rd | 21.9 | 33rd |
| Yards / game | 393.9 | 62nd | 328.5 | 26th |
| Yards / play | 5.84 | 41st | 4.48 | 11th |
| Pass yards / game | 237.7 | 58th | 192.8 | 46th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.61 | 51st | 5.89 | 8th |
| Completion % | 57.1% | 118th | 59.1% | 32nd |
| Rush yards / game | 156.2 | 69th | 121.6 | 28th |
| Yards / carry | 4.47 | 61st | 3.38 | 17th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.2% | 66th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 107th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 21st | 2.31 | 46th |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.5 | 131st | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →