Final TDC rank
#20
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+9.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.5
20th in FBS
Defense
+4.1
32nd in FBS
Schedule
-0.2
64th toughest
Preseason
+6.3
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+9.7 now, +6.3 preseason · down 9 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs East Texas A&M FCS | W 42–13 | +0.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 70Baylor | L 45–48 | -5.9 | — | CW |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 108Missouri State | W 28–10 | +13.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 34TCU | L 24–35 | -2.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 106SyracuseCONF | W 31–18 | +3.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 93StanfordCONF | W 34–10 | +16.5 | — | CW |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 36ClemsonCONF | W 35–24 | +19.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 57Wake ForestCONF | L 12–13 | +4.0 | — | CW |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 6MiamiCONF | W 26–20 | +20.6 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 94Boston CollegeCONF | W 45–13 | +24.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 24LouisvilleCONF | W 38–6 | +32.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 82CaliforniaCONF | L 35–38 | -2.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 29ArizonaNEUTRAL | W 24–19 | +12.2 | — | FOX |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.2% | 62nd | 41.2% | 58th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.2% | 95th | 39.8% | 29th |
| Passing success rate | 43.9% | 41st | 42.3% | 81st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.6% | 117th | 10.7% | 20th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 26th | 10.2% | 77th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.99 | 86th | 2.95 | 49th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.5% | 107th | 35.8% | 38th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 72nd | 19.8% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 3.5% | 20th | 5.6% | 68th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 64th | 37.8% | 44th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 74.4% | 7th | 31.7% | 1st |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 10.8% | 97th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.2 | 36th | 20.5 | 26th |
| Yards / game | 416.9 | 31st | 395.1 | 89th |
| Yards / play | 6.16 | 23rd | 5.08 | 42nd |
| Pass yards / game | 283.1 | 13th | 265.3 | 133rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.00 | 36th | 7.05 | 63rd |
| Completion % | 66.3% | 26th | 60.9% | 58th |
| Rush yards / game | 133.8 | 95th | 111.9 | 19th |
| Yards / carry | 4.34 | 69th | 3.19 | 13th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.8% | 57th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 29th | 2.62 | 23rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 70.8 | 133rd | — | — |
Players
65 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
65 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →