
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Fordham FCS | W 66–10 | +10.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 83Michigan State | L 40–42 | -1.8 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 93StanfordCONF | L 20–30 | -11.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 82CaliforniaCONF | L 24–28 | -9.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 31PittsburghCONF | L 7–48 | -20.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 36ClemsonCONF | L 10–41 | -23.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 75UConn | L 23–38 | -19.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 24LouisvilleCONF | L 24–38 | -3.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 3Notre Dame | L 10–25 | +2.4 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 20SMUCONF | L 13–45 | -19.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 38Georgia TechCONF | L 34–36 | +0.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 106SyracuseCONF | W 34–12 | +17.8 | — | CW |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.9% | 67th | 43.9% | 89th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.1% | 86th | 45.1% | 89th |
| Passing success rate | 42.8% | 54th | 42.7% | 87th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.2% | 123rd | 12.2% | 40th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 92nd | 12.9% | 123rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 95th | 2.94 | 47th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.6% | 119th | 39.5% | 91st |
| Stuff rate | 15.5% | 42nd | 18.1% | 55th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 105th | 3.6% | 124th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.2% | 96th | 39.8% | 57th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 56.2% | 77th | 54.1% | 48th |
| Havoc rate | 13.6% | 117th | 11.9% | 66th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.4 | 93rd | 32.8 | 114th |
| Yards / game | 384.1 | 73rd | 433.3 | 128th |
| Yards / play | 5.32 | 82nd | 6.39 | 132nd |
| Pass yards / game | 280.2 | 15th | 246.9 | 127th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.41 | 60th | 8.20 | 122nd |
| Completion % | 63.2% | 56th | 64.2% | 102nd |
| Rush yards / game | 103.9 | 127th | 177.6 | 106th |
| Yards / carry | 3.31 | 128th | 5.04 | 125th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.0% | 76th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 118th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 120th | 1.42 | 118th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.7 | 51st | — | — |
82 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →