The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 77Hawai'i | W 40–6 | +23.0 | — | TNT |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Weber State FCS | W 48–3 | +6.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 12 | vs 47Kansas State | W 23–17 | +6.8 | — | FOX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 35Iowa StateCONF | L 14–39 | -16.0 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 124Oklahoma StateCONF | W 41–13 | +11.0 | — | TNT |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 12BYUCONF | L 27–33 | +3.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 52HoustonCONF | L 28–31 | +2.7 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 86ColoradoCONF | W 52–17 | +27.5 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 60KansasCONF | W 24–20 | +2.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 58CincinnatiCONF | W 30–24 | +10.8 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 70BaylorCONF | W 41–17 | +21.1 | — | TNT |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 45Arizona StateCONF | W 23–7 | +22.7 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 20SMUNEUTRAL | L 19–24 | +4.7 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.3% | 60th | 40.1% | 41st |
| Rushing success rate | 43.3% | 85th | 46.1% | 100th |
| Passing success rate | 43.3% | 47th | 33.6% | 10th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.7% | 12th | 10.3% | 15th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 101st | 8.1% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 58th | 3.01 | 66th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.6% | 59th | 39.3% | 89th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 92nd | 15.7% | 94th |
| Sack rate | 5.4% | 72nd | 3.2% | 129th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.5% | 53rd | 34.9% | 23rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.3% | 100th | 69.0% | 123rd |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 77th | 13.0% | 37th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.5 | 42nd | 19.3 | 18th |
| Yards / game | 407.6 | 42nd | 308.5 | 19th |
| Yards / play | 5.63 | 58th | 4.56 | 16th |
| Pass yards / game | 255.2 | 36th | 155.1 | 10th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.44 | 58th | 5.58 | 5th |
| Completion % | 63.0% | 57th | 54.0% | 7th |
| Rush yards / game | 152.4 | 75th | 143.2 | 58th |
| Yards / carry | 4.28 | 74th | 3.94 | 52nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.0% | 55th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.46 | 108th | 1.62 | 104th |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.2 | 62nd | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →