The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs 38Georgia Tech | L 20–27 | -4.7 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 112Delaware | W 31–7 | +12.5 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 12 | @ 52HoustonCONF | L 20–36 | -10.3 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 114Wyoming | W 37–20 | +5.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 12BYUCONF | L 21–24 | +6.1 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 34TCUCONF | L 21–35 | -5.4 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 35Iowa StateCONF | W 24–17 | +9.8 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 7UtahCONF | L 7–53 | -14.2 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 29ArizonaCONF | L 17–52 | -23.5 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 87West VirginiaCONF | L 22–29 | -7.7 | — | TNT |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 45Arizona StateCONF | L 17–42 | -23.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 47Kansas StateCONF | L 14–24 | -3.6 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.7% | 130th | 43.7% | 87th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.2% | 132nd | 44.5% | 79th |
| Passing success rate | 35.2% | 122nd | 42.5% | 83rd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.8% | 70th | 16.5% | 122nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 82nd | 12.3% | 118th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.81 | 119th | 3.10 | 83rd |
| Opportunity rate | 32.8% | 128th | 38.3% | 71st |
| Stuff rate | 20.2% | 115th | 18.1% | 55th |
| Sack rate | 9.0% | 128th | 3.4% | 128th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.1% | 80th | 39.1% | 50th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.3% | 41st | 64.1% | 109th |
| Havoc rate | 14.6% | 122nd | 10.7% | 100th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.6 | 101st | 33.2 | 117th |
| Yards / game | 328.4 | 114th | 425.7 | 123rd |
| Yards / play | 4.77 | 119th | 6.04 | 118th |
| Pass yards / game | 202.8 | 95th | 196.8 | 53rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.80 | 90th | 7.55 | 100th |
| Completion % | 58.7% | 104th | 55.4% | 13th |
| Rush yards / game | 125.6 | 104th | 222.5 | 135th |
| Yards / carry | 3.50 | 123rd | 5.25 | 131st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.4% | 86th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.17 | 125th | 1.08 | 130th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.9 | 53rd | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →