
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Robert Morris FCS | W 45–3 | +5.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 68Ohio | L 10–17 | -4.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 31Pittsburgh | W 31–24 | +10.6 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 60KansasCONF | L 10–41 | -22.1 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 7UtahCONF | L 14–48 | -15.6 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 3 | @ 12BYUCONF | L 24–38 | +0.7 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 76UCFCONF | L 13–45 | -25.4 | — | TNT |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 34TCUCONF | L 17–23 | -3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 52HoustonCONF | W 45–35 | +15.7 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 86ColoradoCONF | W 29–22 | +1.0 | — | TNT |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 45Arizona StateCONF | L 23–25 | +4.7 | — | TNT |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 4Texas TechCONF | L 0–49 | -17.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.0% | 121st | 41.8% | 69th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.4% | 113th | 40.8% | 47th |
| Passing success rate | 33.9% | 127th | 42.8% | 88th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.0% | 126th | 12.5% | 46th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 92nd | 12.7% | 121st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.77 | 125th | 2.73 | 17th |
| Opportunity rate | 29.9% | 133rd | 33.4% | 20th |
| Stuff rate | 18.7% | 97th | 18.7% | 43rd |
| Sack rate | 8.1% | 120th | 5.9% | 57th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.6% | 132nd | 41.9% | 83rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.6% | 89th | 55.6% | 57th |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 12.6% | 49th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.8 | 114th | 30.8 | 98th |
| Yards / game | 349.5 | 96th | 409.2 | 106th |
| Yards / play | 4.76 | 122nd | 5.47 | 75th |
| Pass yards / game | 188.9 | 103rd | 249.9 | 128th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.93 | 82nd | 8.17 | 121st |
| Completion % | 58.7% | 103rd | 64.9% | 109th |
| Rush yards / game | 160.6 | 64th | 143.8 | 61st |
| Yards / carry | 3.69 | 109th | 3.60 | 29th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.6% | 134th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 95th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.58 | 115th | 2.42 | 35th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.0 | 79th | — | — |
79 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →