The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 92Jacksonville State | W 17–10 | -0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs North Carolina A&T FCS | W 68–7 | +12.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 97North Carolina | W 34–9 | +15.7 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 47Kansas StateCONF | L 20–34 | -7.6 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 60KansasCONF | L 20–27 | -8.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 58CincinnatiCONF | L 11–20 | -4.2 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 87West VirginiaCONF | W 45–13 | +20.5 | — | TNT |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 70BaylorCONF | L 3–30 | -22.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 52HoustonCONF | L 27–30 | -2.9 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 4Texas TechCONF | L 9–48 | -8.6 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 124Oklahoma StateCONF | W 17–14 | -11.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 12BYUCONF | L 21–41 | -5.3 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 101st | 44.1% | 93rd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.3% | 108th | 47.2% | 114th |
| Passing success rate | 39.5% | 90th | 40.4% | 60th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.6% | 76th | 13.8% | 69th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.2% | 91st | 9.0% | 45th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.86 | 108th | 3.15 | 92nd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.0% | 89th | 37.7% | 63rd |
| Stuff rate | 21.8% | 126th | 15.1% | 102nd |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 40th | 6.5% | 30th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.2% | 122nd | 36.9% | 35th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.6% | 79th | 71.9% | 129th |
| Havoc rate | 11.3% | 69th | 11.3% | 81st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.2 | 17th | 23.6 | 52nd |
| Yards / game | 378.8 | 76th | 335.8 | 37th |
| Yards / play | 5.60 | 63rd | 4.90 | 34th |
| Pass yards / game | 220.8 | 76th | 172.1 | 24th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.57 | 100th | 6.63 | 46th |
| Completion % | 62.0% | 68th | 63.3% | 87th |
| Rush yards / game | 158.0 | 67th | 150.7 | 72nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.89 | 29th | 3.93 | 51st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.9% | 117th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 95th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 57th | 2.25 | 47th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.2 | 86th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →