
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs UT Martin FCS | W 27–7 | -4.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 5Oregon | L 3–69 | -18.2 | — | CBS |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 19 | vs 116Tulsa | L 12–19 | -20.1 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 70BaylorCONF | L 27–45 | -20.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 29ArizonaCONF | L 13–41 | -15.4 | — | TNT |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 52HoustonCONF | L 17–39 | -21.9 | — | TNT |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 58CincinnatiCONF | L 17–49 | -27.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 4Texas TechCONF | L 0–42 | -9.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 60KansasCONF | L 21–38 | -12.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 47Kansas StateCONF | L 6–14 | -7.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 76UCFCONF | L 14–17 | -1.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 35Iowa StateCONF | L 13–20 | -4.2 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.9% | 129th | 45.3% | 106th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.1% | 125th | 43.0% | 67th |
| Passing success rate | 34.9% | 124th | 47.8% | 130th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.2% | 121st | 14.2% | 76th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.2% | 122nd | 14.0% | 130th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.77 | 125th | 2.99 | 62nd |
| Opportunity rate | 38.0% | 74th | 39.8% | 98th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 92nd | 19.3% | 34th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 31st | 5.0% | 95th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.4% | 106th | 43.2% | 101st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.1% | 64th | 75.0% | 133rd |
| Havoc rate | 14.8% | 124th | 13.3% | 30th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 14.2 | 134th | 33.5 | 120th |
| Yards / game | 292.4 | 130th | 418.3 | 116th |
| Yards / play | 4.42 | 131st | 6.12 | 122nd |
| Pass yards / game | 174.1 | 116th | 242.6 | 122nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.71 | 130th | 8.91 | 132nd |
| Completion % | 57.4% | 116th | 65.6% | 114th |
| Rush yards / game | 118.3 | 114th | 165.9 | 93rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.52 | 121st | 4.35 | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.8% | 108th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 75th | 1.83 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 47.3 | 39th | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →