
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS | W 67–7 | +11.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 129Kent State | W 62–14 | +16.6 | — | TNT |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 118Oregon State | W 45–14 | +13.0 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 7UtahCONF | W 34–10 | +41.5 | — | FOX |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 52HoustonCONF | W 35–11 | +29.7 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 60KansasCONF | W 42–17 | +23.1 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 45Arizona StateCONF | L 22–26 | +2.7 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 124Oklahoma StateCONF | W 42–0 | +15.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 47Kansas StateCONF | W 43–20 | +29.4 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 12BYUCONF | W 29–7 | +31.1 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 76UCFCONF | W 48–9 | +25.1 | — | FOX |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 87West VirginiaCONF | W 49–0 | +32.0 | — | ESPN |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 12BYUNEUTRAL | W 34–7 | +37.0 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 5OregonNEUTRAL | L 0–23 | -5.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.5% | 56th | 29.8% | 1st |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 72nd | 29.1% | 1st |
| Passing success rate | 43.2% | 49th | 30.3% | 3rd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 39th | 8.1% | 5th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.6% | 19th | 5.8% | 3rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.98 | 88th | 2.27 | 2nd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.2% | 85th | 27.4% | 2nd |
| Stuff rate | 16.5% | 61st | 20.7% | 20th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 45th | 6.2% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.7% | 14th | 30.5% | 6th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.6% | 96th | 52.9% | 45th |
| Havoc rate | 10.4% | 40th | 15.6% | 6th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.4 | 9th | 14.1 | 4th |
| Yards / game | 461.4 | 10th | 258.3 | 3rd |
| Yards / play | 6.06 | 26th | 3.77 | 1st |
| Pass yards / game | 278.5 | 17th | 168.6 | 22nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.02 | 35th | 5.51 | 4th |
| Completion % | 65.6% | 34th | 59.2% | 34th |
| Rush yards / game | 182.9 | 33rd | 68.1 | 1st |
| Yards / carry | 4.64 | 42nd | 2.20 | 1st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 49.5% | 12th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.29 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.93 | 80th | 2.93 | 10th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.6 | 77th | — | — |
77 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →