The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | @ 89UCLA | W 43–10 | +26.2 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs Cal Poly FCS | W 63–9 | +9.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 114Wyoming | W 31–6 | +18.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 4Texas TechCONF | L 10–34 | -8.9 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 87West VirginiaCONF | W 48–14 | +26.8 | — | FOX |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 45Arizona StateCONF | W 42–10 | +27.9 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 12BYUCONF | L 21–24 | +11.7 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 86ColoradoCONF | W 53–7 | +25.7 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 58CincinnatiCONF | W 45–14 | +25.6 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 70BaylorCONF | W 55–28 | +27.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 47Kansas StateCONF | W 51–47 | +4.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 60KansasCONF | W 31–21 | +14.4 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 61NebraskaNEUTRAL | W 44–22 | +23.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.4% | 11th | 38.7% | 24th |
| Rushing success rate | 51.8% | 10th | 44.2% | 78th |
| Passing success rate | 46.5% | 22nd | 32.8% | 7th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.2% | 10th | 16.0% | 119th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.8% | 53rd | 8.2% | 28th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.56 | 5th | 2.99 | 61st |
| Opportunity rate | 45.7% | 5th | 38.7% | 81st |
| Stuff rate | 12.6% | 9th | 19.1% | 36th |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 16th | 6.1% | 50th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 54.0% | 3rd | 37.8% | 44th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.9% | 10th | 50.0% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 58th | 14.2% | 15th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 43.6 | 6th | 18.9 | 14th |
| Yards / game | 482.9 | 4th | 359.0 | 59th |
| Yards / play | 6.53 | 16th | 5.15 | 49th |
| Pass yards / game | 216.6 | 82nd | 158.5 | 14th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.55 | 54th | 6.00 | 12th |
| Completion % | 62.7% | 61st | 49.4% | 1st |
| Rush yards / game | 266.3 | 2nd | 181.2 | 110th |
| Yards / carry | 6.02 | 1st | 4.83 | 115th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 52.9% | 3rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 18th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 9th | 2.62 | 23rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.0 | 40th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →