Final TDC rank
#61
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+1.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.5
60th in FBS
Defense
+1.2
55th in FBS
Schedule
+1.4
42nd toughest
Preseason
+2.6
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+1.6 now, +2.6 preseason · down 21 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 58CincinnatiNEUTRAL | W 20–17 | +5.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 120Akron | W 68–0 | +25.5 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Houston Christian FCS | W 59–7 | +9.0 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 26MichiganCONF | L 27–30 | +2.1 | — | CBS |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 83Michigan StateCONF | W 38–27 | +5.7 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 84MarylandCONF | W 34–31 | +3.1 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 17 | @ 63MinnesotaCONF | L 6–24 | -14.3 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 59NorthwesternCONF | W 28–21 | +5.9 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 13USCCONF | L 17–21 | +5.0 | — | NBC |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 89UCLACONF | W 28–21 | +6.0 | — | FOX |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 18Penn StateCONF | L 10–37 | -12.1 | — | NBC |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 14IowaCONF | L 16–40 | -15.3 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 7UtahNEUTRAL | L 22–44 | -7.3 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.7% | 27th | 43.5% | 84th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.4% | 27th | 47.6% | 116th |
| Passing success rate | 45.0% | 33rd | 38.2% | 35th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.8% | 70th | 16.2% | 120th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.9% | 73rd | 9.7% | 63rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.29 | 27th | 3.32 | 118th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.8% | 28th | 43.5% | 129th |
| Stuff rate | 13.8% | 23rd | 14.7% | 107th |
| Sack rate | 8.5% | 126th | 5.9% | 57th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.5% | 44th | 43.8% | 105th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.5% | 98th | 75.0% | 133rd |
| Havoc rate | 10.8% | 52nd | 10.2% | 107th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.7 | 66th | 27.1 | 74th |
| Yards / game | 370.5 | 82nd | 329.5 | 30th |
| Yards / play | 5.59 | 64th | 5.29 | 59th |
| Pass yards / game | 224.6 | 68th | 141.1 | 3rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.72 | 44th | 6.38 | 26th |
| Completion % | 68.8% | 11th | 58.3% | 27th |
| Rush yards / game | 145.9 | 81st | 175.4 | 100th |
| Yards / carry | 4.21 | 82nd | 4.82 | 114th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.0% | 24th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.85 | 10th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.54 | 113th | 1.69 | 100th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.5 | 25th | — | — |
Players
78 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
78 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →