The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 108Missouri State | W 73–13 | +26.5 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 98Georgia Southern | W 59–20 | +20.5 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 100PurdueCONF | W 33–17 | +12.8 | — | CBS |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 83Michigan StateCONF | W 45–31 | +8.7 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 27IllinoisCONF | L 32–34 | +8.3 | — | FOX |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 26MichiganCONF | W 31–13 | +23.1 | — | NBC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 3Notre Dame | L 24–34 | +13.0 | — | NBC |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 61NebraskaCONF | W 21–17 | +8.4 | — | NBC |
| 11 | Nov 7 | vs 59NorthwesternCONF | W 38–17 | +19.9 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 14IowaCONF | W 26–21 | +13.7 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 5OregonCONF | L 27–42 | +5.5 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 89UCLACONF | W 29–10 | +12.4 | — | NBC |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 34TCUNEUTRAL | L 27–30 | +2.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.2% | 14th | 46.0% | 116th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.9% | 50th | 49.3% | 126th |
| Passing success rate | 52.2% | 4th | 43.0% | 93rd |
| Explosive run rate | 16.9% | 21st | 16.7% | 125th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.9% | 6th | 8.9% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 38th | 3.57 | 135th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.0% | 23rd | 47.3% | 136th |
| Stuff rate | 15.8% | 45th | 14.2% | 115th |
| Sack rate | 2.5% | 4th | 6.5% | 30th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 52.8% | 5th | 46.4% | 117th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.9% | 22nd | 68.6% | 121st |
| Havoc rate | 9.7% | 24th | 10.8% | 97th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 44.2 | 4th | 23.0 | 43rd |
| Yards / game | 465.5 | 8th | 350.8 | 49th |
| Yards / play | 7.01 | 4th | 5.35 | 64th |
| Pass yards / game | 296.0 | 5th | 191.8 | 45th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.16 | 8th | 6.85 | 54th |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 21st | 65.7% | 115th |
| Rush yards / game | 169.5 | 55th | 143.2 | 58th |
| Yards / carry | 5.15 | 21st | 4.35 | 83rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 51.0% | 7th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.15 | 14th | 2.38 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.4 | 75th | — | — |
75 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →