The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Montana State FCS | W 59–13 | +6.9 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 124Oklahoma State | W 69–3 | +24.3 | — | CBS |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 59NorthwesternCONF | W 34–14 | +24.5 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 118Oregon State | W 41–7 | +14.1 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 18Penn StateCONF | W 30–24 | +19.0 | — | NBC |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 1IndianaCONF | L 20–30 | +10.6 | — | CBS |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 65RutgersCONF | W 56–10 | +34.9 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 72WisconsinCONF | W 21–7 | +10.6 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 14IowaCONF | W 18–16 | +16.3 | — | CBS |
| 12 | Nov 14 | vs 63MinnesotaCONF | W 42–13 | +23.9 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 13USCCONF | W 42–27 | +24.0 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 17WashingtonCONF | W 26–14 | +25.2 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 19James Madison | W 51–34 | +24.4 | — | TNT |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 4Texas TechNEUTRAL | W 23–0 | +40.9 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 9 | vs 1IndianaNEUTRAL | L 22–56 | -4.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.1% | 15th | 36.6% | 13th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.9% | 19th | 38.4% | 15th |
| Passing success rate | 49.3% | 11th | 34.8% | 14th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.9% | 90th | 8.1% | 5th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.6% | 4th | 6.4% | 5th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.31 | 26th | 2.84 | 32nd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.8% | 14th | 33.3% | 19th |
| Stuff rate | 14.4% | 30th | 15.9% | 89th |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 40th | 5.3% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.0% | 23rd | 40.6% | 65th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.6% | 38th | 62.1% | 96th |
| Havoc rate | 8.7% | 8th | 13.6% | 25th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.2 | 11th | 17.9 | 8th |
| Yards / game | 452.2 | 16th | 273.7 | 7th |
| Yards / play | 6.74 | 8th | 4.27 | 7th |
| Pass yards / game | 253.6 | 39th | 144.8 | 5th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.71 | 14th | 5.59 | 6th |
| Completion % | 71.6% | 4th | 53.3% | 4th |
| Rush yards / game | 198.6 | 20th | 115.7 | 24th |
| Yards / carry | 5.41 | 13th | 3.42 | 20th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.5% | 20th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.27 | 17th | 2.00 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.7 | 52nd | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →