12-28-0 in conference
Final TDC rank
#19
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+10.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.0
27th in FBS
Defense
+5.3
18th in FBS
Schedule
-3.0
82nd toughest
Preseason
+2.1
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+10.2 now, +2.1 preseason · up 28 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Weber State FCS | W 45–10 | +3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 5 | @ 24Louisville | L 14–28 | -3.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 101Liberty | W 31–13 | +14.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 98Georgia SouthernCONF | W 35–10 | +15.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 131Georgia StateCONF | W 14–7 | -4.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 103LouisianaCONF | W 24–14 | +0.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 32Old DominionCONF | W 63–27 | +31.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 28 | @ 62Texas StateCONF | W 52–20 | +31.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 81MarshallCONF | W 35–23 | +12.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 115App StateCONF | W 58–10 | +20.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 50Washington State | W 24–20 | +4.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 111Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 59–10 | +27.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 15 | Dec 5 | vs 90Troy | W 31–14 | +10.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | @ 5Oregon | L 34–51 | +3.5 | — | TNT |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.7% | 36th | 31.9% | 2nd |
| Rushing success rate | 48.3% | 28th | 33.9% | 6th |
| Passing success rate | 42.3% | 57th | 30.0% | 2nd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 45th | 9.7% | 11th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.2% | 24th | 9.6% | 62nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.17 | 46th | 2.44 | 7th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.0% | 51st | 30.1% | 8th |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 81st | 24.2% | 6th |
| Sack rate | 5.2% | 65th | 7.3% | 16th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.0% | 23rd | 30.9% | 7th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.8% | 78th | 48.1% | 29th |
| Havoc rate | 12.5% | 97th | 15.8% | 4th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.1 | 16th | 18.4 | 11th |
| Yards / game | 452.6 | 15th | 266.6 | 5th |
| Yards / play | 6.22 | 22nd | 4.23 | 6th |
| Pass yards / game | 211.1 | 88th | 164.3 | 17th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.68 | 45th | 6.04 | 15th |
| Completion % | 58.4% | 106th | 50.8% | 3rd |
| Rush yards / game | 241.5 | 6th | 85.1 | 5th |
| Yards / carry | 5.54 | 9th | 2.80 | 5th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 46.7% | 18th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.14 | 48th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.64 | 50th | 2.57 | 28th |
| Penalty yards / game | 72.5 | 134th | — | — |
Players
65 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
65 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →