
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 126Rice | L 12–14 | -16.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs McNeese FCS | W 34–10 | -0.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 28Missouri | L 10–52 | -20.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 117Eastern Michigan | L 31–34 | -10.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 81MarshallCONF | W 54–51 | -2.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 19James MadisonCONF | L 14–24 | +3.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 102Southern MissCONF | L 10–22 | -21.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 90TroyCONF | L 23–35 | -13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 107South AlabamaCONF | W 31–22 | +4.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 62Texas StateCONF | W 42–39 | +1.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 20 | @ 105Arkansas StateCONF | W 34–30 | +0.2 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 130UL MonroeCONF | W 30–27 | -13.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 112DelawareNEUTRAL | L 13–20 | -15.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.9% | 111th | 46.6% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.0% | 88th | 48.5% | 122nd |
| Passing success rate | 33.4% | 129th | 44.3% | 108th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.1% | 42nd | 14.9% | 90th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.2% | 122nd | 11.5% | 108th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 79th | 3.37 | 121st |
| Opportunity rate | 36.5% | 97th | 42.7% | 122nd |
| Stuff rate | 19.2% | 104th | 14.7% | 107th |
| Sack rate | 5.1% | 62nd | 5.2% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 64th | 42.9% | 97th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 50.0% | 108th | 50.0% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.4% | 93rd | 11.0% | 91st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.0 | 88th | 31.7 | 104th |
| Yards / game | 345.1 | 100th | 410.8 | 109th |
| Yards / play | 5.08 | 103rd | 5.82 | 108th |
| Pass yards / game | 161.9 | 123rd | 213.5 | 83rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.14 | 125th | 7.69 | 108th |
| Completion % | 54.5% | 130th | 66.5% | 123rd |
| Rush yards / game | 183.2 | 31st | 186.7 | 118th |
| Yards / carry | 4.62 | 43rd | 4.70 | 103rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.6% | 59th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 78th | 1.77 | 93rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.5 | 36th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →