The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Central Arkansas FCS | W 61–6 | +10.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 60Kansas | W 42–31 | +9.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 103Louisiana | W 52–10 | +21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 51South CarolinaCONF | W 29–20 | +9.2 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 136Massachusetts | W 42–6 | +1.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 15AlabamaCONF | L 24–27 | +5.7 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 40AuburnCONF | W 23–17 | +13.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 11VanderbiltCONF | L 10–17 | +7.9 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 10Texas A&MCONF | L 17–38 | -10.9 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 71Mississippi StateCONF | W 49–27 | +19.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 21OklahomaCONF | L 6–17 | +1.2 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 55ArkansasCONF | W 31–17 | +19.1 | — | SEC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 30VirginiaNEUTRAL | L 7–13 | +0.6 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.5% | 39th | 36.1% | 11th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.8% | 23rd | 36.4% | 9th |
| Passing success rate | 41.5% | 62nd | 35.7% | 17th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.9% | 11th | 9.6% | 10th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.8% | 115th | 8.1% | 25th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.36 | 18th | 2.65 | 12th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.0% | 23rd | 28.6% | 5th |
| Stuff rate | 15.3% | 41st | 20.5% | 22nd |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 91st | 7.8% | 10th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.9% | 38th | 36.8% | 32nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.8% | 27th | 58.1% | 71st |
| Havoc rate | 9.8% | 25th | 14.1% | 16th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.8 | 31st | 19.1 | 15th |
| Yards / game | 416.3 | 32nd | 277.3 | 8th |
| Yards / play | 5.71 | 48th | 4.33 | 8th |
| Pass yards / game | 188.0 | 104th | 153.2 | 8th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.75 | 92nd | 5.95 | 9th |
| Completion % | 63.3% | 54th | 56.7% | 19th |
| Rush yards / game | 228.3 | 8th | 103.8 | 13th |
| Yards / carry | 5.32 | 14th | 3.23 | 14th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.6% | 31st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 74th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.15 | 90th | 2.77 | 17th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.1 | 59th | — | — |
74 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →