The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 111Coastal Carolina | W 48–7 | +18.6 | — | ACCNX |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 42NC State | L 31–35 | +3.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs William & Mary FCS | W 55–16 | +4.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 93StanfordCONF | W 48–20 | +17.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 26 | vs 43Florida StateCONF | W 46–38 | +9.6 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 24LouisvilleCONF | W 30–27 | +13.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 50Washington State | W 22–20 | +2.5 | — | CW |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 97North CarolinaCONF | W 17–16 | -2.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 82CaliforniaCONF | W 31–21 | +10.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 57Wake ForestCONF | L 9–16 | -7.6 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 44DukeCONF | W 34–17 | +24.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 91Virginia TechCONF | W 27–7 | +13.1 | — | ESPN |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 44DukeNEUTRAL | L 20–27 | -2.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 28MissouriNEUTRAL | W 13–7 | +13.4 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.5% | 71st | 38.4% | 23rd |
| Rushing success rate | 44.7% | 62nd | 39.8% | 29th |
| Passing success rate | 40.5% | 76th | 36.9% | 25th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 102nd | 10.6% | 19th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 69th | 9.3% | 52nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.16 | 47th | 2.93 | 44th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.9% | 77th | 35.6% | 34th |
| Stuff rate | 13.9% | 25th | 16.6% | 78th |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 13th | 6.5% | 30th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 52.2% | 7th | 28.0% | 2nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.1% | 55th | 62.5% | 98th |
| Havoc rate | 10.5% | 44th | 12.2% | 58th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.1 | 28th | 19.6 | 19th |
| Yards / game | 417.9 | 29th | 309.5 | 20th |
| Yards / play | 5.53 | 68th | 4.77 | 27th |
| Pass yards / game | 239.1 | 55th | 180.5 | 31st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.80 | 88th | 6.65 | 48th |
| Completion % | 64.0% | 47th | 59.5% | 37th |
| Rush yards / game | 178.7 | 38th | 113.9 | 22nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.57 | 49th | 3.43 | 21st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 49.8% | 11th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.29 | 19th | 2.21 | 53rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.1 | 28th | — | — |
81 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →