ACC · 2025 · Final

Virginia Cavaliers 2025

11-37-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#30
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+6.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.3
43rd in FBS
Defense
+4.3
29th in FBS
Schedule
-0.7
66th toughest
Preseason
-2.0
rating going in

2025 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+6.6 now, -2.0 preseason · up 57 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#30

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vs111Coastal CarolinaW 48–7+18.6—ACCNX
2Sep 6@42NC StateL 31–35+3.2—ESPN2
3Sep 13vsWilliam & Mary FCSW 55–16+4.4—ACC Network
4Sep 20vs93StanfordCONFW 48–20+17.9—ACC Network
5Sep 26vs43Florida StateCONFW 46–38+9.6—ESPN
6Oct 4@24LouisvilleCONFW 30–27+13.8—ESPN2
7—Bye
8Oct 18vs50Washington StateW 22–20+2.5—CW
9Oct 25@97North CarolinaCONFW 17–16-2.1—ACC Network
10Nov 1@82CaliforniaCONFW 31–21+10.2—ESPN2
11Nov 8vs57Wake ForestCONFL 9–16-7.6—ESPN
12Nov 15@44DukeCONFW 34–17+24.1—ESPN2
13—Bye
14Nov 29vs91Virginia TechCONFW 27–7+13.1—ESPN
15Dec 6vs44DukeNEUTRALL 20–27-2.7—ABC
BowlsDec 27vs28MissouriNEUTRALW 13–7+13.4—ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate42.5%71st38.4%23rd
Rushing success rate44.7%62nd39.8%29th
Passing success rate40.5%76th36.9%25th
Explosive run rate12.4%102nd10.6%19th
Explosive pass rate10.0%69th9.3%52nd
Line yards / carry3.1647th2.9344th
Opportunity rate37.9%77th35.6%34th
Stuff rate13.9%25th16.6%78th
Sack rate3.2%13th6.5%30th
3rd-down conversion52.2%7th28.0%2nd
Red-zone TD rate61.1%55th62.5%98th
Havoc rate10.5%44th12.2%58th
Box score · season totals
Points / game33.128th19.619th
Yards / game417.929th309.520th
Yards / play5.5368th4.7727th
Pass yards / game239.155th180.531st
Yards / pass att.6.8088th6.6548th
Completion %64.0%47th59.5%37th
Rush yards / game178.738th113.922nd
Yards / carry4.5749th3.4321st
3rd-down conv. %49.8%11th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0025th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2919th2.2153rd
Penalty yards / game44.128th——

Players

81 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)

81 players

Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →