Final TDC rank
#44
of 136 FBS teams
Rating
+4.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.5
13th in FBS
Defense
-3.2
91st in FBS
Schedule
+0.5
53rd toughest
Preseason
+0.6
rating going in
2025 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+4.3 now, +0.6 preseason · up 15 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Elon FCS | W 45–17 | +0.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 27Illinois | L 19–45 | -20.0 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 41Tulane | L 27–34 | +0.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 42NC StateCONF | W 45–33 | +13.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 106SyracuseCONF | W 38–3 | +23.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 82CaliforniaCONF | W 45–21 | +24.2 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 38Georgia TechCONF | L 18–27 | -6.7 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 36ClemsonCONF | W 46–45 | +9.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 75UConn | L 34–37 | -1.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 30VirginiaCONF | L 17–34 | -13.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 97North CarolinaCONF | W 32–25 | +3.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 57Wake ForestCONF | W 49–32 | +16.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs30VirginiaNEUTRAL | W 27–20 | +13.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 45Arizona StateNEUTRAL | W 42–39 | +6.9 | — | CBS |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.0% | 24th | 45.0% | 103rd |
| Rushing success rate | 46.8% | 41st | 43.9% | 76th |
| Passing success rate | 47.2% | 19th | 46.0% | 122nd |
| Explosive run rate | 13.9% | 68th | 15.5% | 104th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 39th | 13.3% | 126th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 95th | 2.67 | 13th |
| Opportunity rate | 39.2% | 62nd | 36.7% | 50th |
| Stuff rate | 20.5% | 117th | 22.2% | 12th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 45th | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.8% | 90th | 47.1% | 123rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.4% | 11th | 72.2% | 130th |
| Havoc rate | 11.4% | 71st | 14.0% | 17th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.6 | 19th | 29.4 | 88th |
| Yards / game | 423.5 | 25th | 424.2 | 121st |
| Yards / play | 5.99 | 28th | 6.12 | 121st |
| Pass yards / game | 285.4 | 11th | 265.9 | 135th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.89 | 39th | 8.37 | 125th |
| Completion % | 66.4% | 25th | 67.2% | 127th |
| Rush yards / game | 138.1 | 88th | 147.4 | 66th |
| Yards / carry | 4.25 | 77th | 4.28 | 74th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.0% | 77th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 83rd | 1.86 | 85th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.7 | 112th | — | — |
Players
59 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
59 players
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →