ACC · 2026

Virginia Cavaliers

Head coach Tony Elliott · Scott Stadium
2-11-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#28
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+5.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.3
45th in FBS
Defense
+3.5
24th in FBS
Schedule so far
-6.9
75th toughest
Projected
7.5-4.5
bowl-eligible 88%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+5.8 now, +4.1 preseason · down 3 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#29

Final record odds

7.5-4.5 expected · most likely 8-4 (23%)
3-94-88%5-716%6-622%7-523%8-417%9-38%10-211-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vs60NC StateCONFW 34–8+23.0—ESPN
2Sep 11vsNorfolk State FCSW 59–3+8.0—ACCNX
3Sep 19vs53West VirginiaNEUTRALL 27–38-8.6—ACC Network
4Sep 26vs79DelawareVirginia −10.7 · o/u 48.8—76%ACC Network
5Oct 3@45Florida StateCONFFlorida State −0.2 · o/u 53.9—49%
6Oct 10vs85SyracuseCONFVirginia −11.4 · o/u 44.7—77%
7Oct 17@36SMUCONFSMU −1.7 · o/u 51.4—46%
8Oct 23vs21DukeCONFVirginia −1.4 · o/u 47.3—54%ESPN
9Oct 31@51Wake ForestCONFVirginia −0.3 · o/u 51.7—51%
10—Bye
11Nov 14vs89CaliforniaCONFVirginia −11.5 · o/u 49.8—78%
12Nov 21vs73North CarolinaCONFVirginia −9.9 · o/u 40.9—74%
13Nov 28@27Virginia TechCONFVirginia Tech −3.4 · o/u 53.8—41%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.29336th-0.00444th
Success rate50.6%28th37.8%47th
Explosiveness1.152106th1.0145th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate51.8%20th37.9%48th
Rushing success rate51.0%24th39.7%65th
Passing success rate53.1%21st35.8%43rd
Explosive run rate17.6%37th11.5%63rd
Explosive pass rate15.0%35th11.3%94th
Line yards / carry3.7017th3.1093rd
Opportunity rate43.1%42nd33.3%46th
Stuff rate9.8%9th15.4%96th
Sack rate6.2%102nd7.5%28th
3rd-down conversion30.0%130th36.4%63rd
Red-zone TD rate88.9%11th66.7%73rd
Havoc rate7.2%9th15.2%55th
Box score · season totals
Points / game40.028th16.334th
Yards / game411.066th276.032nd
Yards / play6.0166th4.3835th
Pass yards / game193.7101st150.019th
Yards / pass att.8.5045th5.7726th
Completion %70.6%23rd55.1%29th
Rush yards / game217.334th126.069th
Yards / carry4.9050th3.5759th
3rd-down conv. %34.2%115th33.3%50th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.337th1.6729th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6770th1.6774th
Penalty yards / game44.733rd34.0121st

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tony Elliott

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
6Cole GeerQBSO6' 1"209Griswold, CT
7Beau PribulaQBSR6' 2"209York, PA
10Eli HolsteinQBSR6' 4"234Zachary, LA
14Boone LourdQBJR6' 1"203Los Angeles, CA
16Ely HamrickQBFR6' 5"230Shelby, NC
0Xavier BrownRBSR5' 10"202Lexington, KY
2Peyton LewisRBJR6' 1"212Salem, VA
21Jekail MiddlebrookRBSR5' 10"198Atlanta, GA
25Xay DavisRBSO5' 10"205Richmond, VA
28Solomon BeebeRBJR5' 10"199Montgomery, AL
4Jacquon GibsonWRSR5' 11"196Fayetteville, NC
5Kameron CourtneyWRJR5' 11"195Manassas, VA
8Ty'Lyric ColemanWRSR6' 2"198Danville, VA
11Rico Flores Jr.WRSR6' 2"211North Highlands, CA
13Josiah AbdullahWRSO5' 10"192Columbus, GA
15Dillon Newton-ShortWRSO6' 0"206Matoaca, VA
18Da'Shawn MartinWRJR6' 0"180Springfield, OH
22Tyson DavisWRSR5' 10"187Flint, MI
26Jack RhodesWRFR6' 1"175Augusta, GA
27Kyle AltWR6' 2"184Leesburg, VA
45Brand MorganWRSO6' 3"207Atlanta, GA
80Trevor LaddWRJR6' 2"242Encinitas, CA
81TeKai KirbyWRSR6' 2"232Fort Lauderdale, FL
82DaMari CarterWRFR6' 2"200Richmond, VA
84Isaiah RobinsonWRSO6' 2"215Chester, VA
85Dylan CopeWRFR6' 3"193Trussville, AL
30Henry OmohundroTEJR6' 3"251Midlothian, VA
88Connor CoxTESR6' 6"250Jacksonville, FL
89John RogersTESO6' 4"239The Plains, VA
94Hayden RollisonTESR6' 3"235Richmond, VA
51Grayson ReidOLSO6' 3"309Washington, DC
52McKale BoleyOLSR6' 5"329Hattiesburg, MS
55Jim Harris Jr.OLSO6' 5"295Muskegon, MI
57Luke HatfieldOLFR6' 4"285Haymarket, VA
58Noah HartsoeOLSR6' 3"317Henrico, VA
60Drake MetcalfOLSR6' 2"304Orange, CA
65Grant EllingerOLJR6' 4"303Naperville, IL
66Mikey GildeaOLFR6' 4"298New Canaan, CT
67Will RosenOLJR6' 1"290Richmond, VA
69Ryan BrubakerOLSR6' 6"313Reamstown, PA
71Monroe MillsOLSR6' 7"322Columbia, MO
75Dylan BiehlOLFR6' 4"277Suwanee, GA
76Alex PayneOLSO6' 5"312Gainesville, GA
77Noah JoseyOLSR6' 5"315Murfreesboro, TN
79Jon AdairOLSO6' 5"308Franklin, TN
88Kervins ChouteDLSR6' 4"293Fort Lauderdale, FL
6Cazeem MooreDESR6' 4"252Vanceboro, NC
14Fisher CamacDESR6' 7"262Gilbert, AZ
16Matthew Fobbs-WhiteDESR6' 3"245Monroe, LA
33Nnanna AnyanwuDESR6' 5"251Hampton, GA
53Gavin JohnsonDESO6' 1"234Richmond, VA
85Jewett HayesDEJR6' 4"241Cincinnati, OH
93Billy KoudelkaDEJR6' 8"256Lynchburg, VA
94Ezekiel LarryDESR6' 2"240Palmdale, CA
99Devon BaxterDEJR6' 6"244Clinton, MD
44Darrion Henry-YoungDTSR6' 4"295Cincinnati, OH
46Chase MorrisonDTJR6' 4"271Roswell, GA
51Sichan JohnDTSO6' 3"302Lawrenceville, GA
55Anthony BrittonDTSR6' 3"308Norfolk, VA
56Tyler SimmonsDTJR6' 3"278Windermere, FL
91Jason HammondDTSR6' 2"284Miami, FL
92Jonathan AllenDTSR6' 2"304Birmingham, AL
96Bull RichardsonDTFR6' 1"300Richmond, VA
5Kam RobinsonLBSR6' 2"239Tappahannock, VA
11Maddox MarcellusLBSR6' 2"232Miami, FL
13Myles BrownLBJR6' 3"226Columbia, SC
26Caleb HardyLBSR6' 4"217Mcdonough, GA
28Dallas BrannonLBFR6' 2"219Charlotte, NC
32Landon DanleyLBSR6' 3"225Irmo, SC
42Isaiah ReeseLBSO6' 3"222Gilford, NH
45Justin RoweLBSO6' 2"239Ottawa, Canada
49Cayden Cook-CashLBJR6' 3"231Greenville, VA
0Ja'Maric MorrisDBSR6' 3"219Timmonsville, SC
2Donavon PlattDBSR5' 11"212Jamestown, NC
15Lukas SankerDBSR6' 0"202Charlottesville, VA
27Alex DunnDBFR6' 0"180Lynchburg, VA
31Patrick CampbellDBSR6' 0"195Snellville, GA
3Kevon GrayCBJR6' 0"180Atlanta, GA
7Josiah PersingerCBSO5' 11"179Roanoke, VA
9Jam JacksonCBSR6' 2"184Plant City, FL
10Jacobie HendersonCBSR5' 11"198Charlotte, NC
17Justin RossCBJR6' 2"187Gastonia, NC
20Omillio AgardCBJR5' 11"187Philadelphia, PA
22Isaiah HarrisCBFR6' 1"180Charlottesville, VA
29Jayden CovilCBFR5' 11"161Chesapeake, VA
4Corey CostnerSSO6' 1"213Baltimore, MD
6Brandyn HillmanSSR6' 0"190Portsmouth, VA
8Christian EllisSSR6' 0"206Jacksonville, FL
18Jalen McNairSSR5' 8"221White Plains, MD
21Keke AdamsSJR6' 0"198Hartford, CT
23Jaylen JonesSSR6' 1"205Charlotte, NC
30Ethan MinterSJR6' 0"195Chester, VA
34Kevin Chadwick Jr.SSR5' 11"209Vienna, VA
38Armstrong JonesSJR6' 1"183Atlanta, GA
14Tim HamannPKFR5' 11"180Dresden, Germany
41Will BettridgePKSR5' 11"191Miami, FL
43Chris MessmorePKFR6' 2"185Richmond, VA
90Aiden BellPKFR6' 0"175Winchester, VA
39Zach ChristinatLSJR6' 1"210Norwalk, CT
50Wyatt RubinoffLSJR6' 2"220St. Mary's, GA

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →