The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs William & Mary FCS | W 43–0 | +9.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs 73Illinois | W 42–14 | +21.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 18 | @ 59North CarolinaCONF | L 39–59 | -15.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 16Wake ForestCONF | L 17–37 | -14.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 52MiamiCONF | W 30–28 | +7.7 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 54LouisvilleCONF | W 34–33 | +6.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 122DukeCONF | W 48–0 | +16.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 97Georgia TechCONF | W 48–40 | +0.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 26BYU | L 49–66 | -7.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 6Notre Dame | L 3–28 | -13.5 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 9PittsburghCONF | L 38–48 | +2.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 78Virginia TechCONF | L 24–29 | -9.0 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 34SMUNEUTRAL | SMU −5.2 · o/u 69.5 | — |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.9% | 9th | 49.1% | 119th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.3% | 16th | 50.1% | 112th |
| Passing success rate | 51.6% | 7th | 47.9% | 114th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.5% | 12th | 18.0% | 117th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.9% | 31st | 10.2% | 56th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.64 | 3rd | 3.59 | 122nd |
| Opportunity rate | 48.4% | 3rd | 43.6% | 112th |
| Stuff rate | 11.3% | 9th | 11.7% | 117th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 50th | 4.9% | 92nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.2% | 11th | 44.2% | 99th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.0% | 58th | 55.6% | 46th |
| Havoc rate | 6.7% | 15th | 5.6% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.6 | 25th | 31.8 | 101st |
| Yards / game | 515.8 | 3rd | 466.0 | 121st |
| Yards / play | 6.65 | 6th | 6.49 | 118th |
| Pass yards / game | 392.6 | 2nd | 231.1 | 93rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.52 | 20th | 7.67 | 92nd |
| Completion % | 63.3% | 47th | 59.8% | 62nd |
| Rush yards / game | 123.2 | 103rd | 225.8 | 123rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.36 | 60th | 5.79 | 124th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.9% | 14th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 79th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.17 | 116th | 1.50 | 109th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.8 | 80th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brennan Armstrong | QB | ||||
| 16 | Jay Woolfolk | QB | ||||
| 7 | Mike Hollins | RB | ||||
| 15 | Perris Jones | RB | ||||
| 21 | Wayne Taulapapa | RB | ||||
| 26 | Devin Darrington | RB | ||||
| 32 | Ronnie Walker Jr. | RB | ||||
| 40 | Chris Barfield | RB | ||||
| 0 | Malachi Fields | WR | ||||
| 1 | Billy Kemp IV | WR | ||||
| 2 | Ra'Shaun Henry | WR | ||||
| 3 | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | ||||
| 83 | Josh Clifford | WR | ||||
| 99 | Keytaon Thompson | WR | ||||
| Demick Starling | WR | |||||
| 0 | Jelani Woods | TE | ||||
| 85 | Grant Misch | TE | ||||
| 70 | Robert Haskins | OL | ||||
| 50 | Jack Wohlabaugh | C | ||||
| 1 | Ben Smiley III | DL | ||||
| 19 | Olasunkonmi Agunloye | DL | ||||
| 95 | Adeeb Atariwa | DL | ||||
| 91 | Mandy Alonso | DE | ||||
| 15 | Mike Diatta | DT | ||||
| 90 | Jahmeer Carter | DT | ||||
| 94 | Aaron Faumui | DT | ||||
| 76 | Jordan Redmond | NT | ||||
| 0 | Ira Armstead II | LB | ||||
| 4 | Elliott Brown | LB | ||||
| 7 | Noah Taylor | LB | ||||
| 8 | Chayce Chalmers | LB | ||||
| 10 | Jacob Rodriguez | LB | ||||
| 10 | Nick Jackson | LB | ||||
| 13 | Hunter Stewart | LB | ||||
| 33 | West Weeks | LB | ||||
| 33 | Josh Ahern | LB | ||||
| 41 | D'Sean Perry | LB | ||||
| 47 | T.C. Harrison | LB | ||||
| Langston Long | LB | |||||
| 1 | Joseph White | DB | ||||
| 22 | Elijah Gaines | DB | ||||
| 1 | Nick Grant | CB | ||||
| 3 | Anthony Johnson | CB | ||||
| 8 | Darrius Bratton | CB | ||||
| 23 | Fentrell Cypress II | CB | ||||
| 0 | Antonio Clary | S | ||||
| 1 | Josh Hayes | S | ||||
| 2 | De'Vante Cross | S | ||||
| 9 | Coen King | S | ||||
| 20 | Jonas Sanker | S | ||||
| 21 | Donovan Johnson Sr. | S | ||||
| 29 | Joey Blount | S | ||||
| 19 | Justin Duenkel | PK | ||||
| 53 | Brendan Farrell | PK | ||||
| 16 | Jacob Finn | P | ||||
| 15 | Nusi Malani | EDGE | ||||
| 15 | Mike Green | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →