
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 78Virginia TechCONF | L 10–17 | -6.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs 69Georgia State | W 59–17 | +27.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 66VirginiaCONF | W 59–39 | +18.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 97Georgia TechCONFNEUTRAL | L 22–45 | -27.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 122DukeCONF | W 38–7 | +10.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 72Florida StateCONF | L 25–35 | -13.5 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 16 | vs 52MiamiCONF | W 45–42 | +4.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 6Notre Dame | L 34–44 | +5.4 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 16Wake Forest | W 58–55 | +9.0 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 9PittsburghCONF | L 23–30 | +5.7 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs Wofford FCS | W 34–14 | -1.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 18NC StateCONF | L 30–34 | +6.4 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 75South CarolinaNEUTRAL | L 21–38 | -18.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.0% | 22nd | 48.4% | 111th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.3% | 11th | 52.8% | 124th |
| Passing success rate | 44.4% | 53rd | 43.5% | 77th |
| Explosive run rate | 23.5% | 1st | 15.7% | 88th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.4% | 19th | 13.4% | 116th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.46 | 18th | 3.33 | 104th |
| Opportunity rate | 47.2% | 4th | 43.4% | 110th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 83rd | 12.6% | 112th |
| Sack rate | 11.2% | 126th | 6.5% | 56th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.4% | 57th | 43.0% | 92nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.3% | 88th | 55.3% | 44th |
| Havoc rate | 10.7% | 108th | 8.2% | 89th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.2 | 22nd | 32.1 | 102nd |
| Yards / game | 468.4 | 10th | 408.1 | 87th |
| Yards / play | 6.45 | 11th | 5.76 | 96th |
| Pass yards / game | 255.7 | 42nd | 223.2 | 79th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.70 | 16th | 7.71 | 94th |
| Completion % | 62.0% | 57th | 60.0% | 65th |
| Rush yards / game | 212.7 | 18th | 170.4 | 95th |
| Yards / carry | 5.39 | 8th | 4.51 | 93rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.0% | 37th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 36th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.77 | 127th | 2.25 | 61st |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.2 | 118th | — | — |
58 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jacolby Criswell | QB | ||||
| 7 | Sam Howell | QB | ||||
| 10 | Drake Maye | QB | ||||
| 4 | Caleb Hood | RB | ||||
| 19 | Ty Chandler | RB | ||||
| 21 | Elijah Green | RB | ||||
| 23 | Josh Henderson | RB | ||||
| 24 | British Brooks | RB | ||||
| 26 | DJ Jones | RB | ||||
| 21 | Nathan Walker | FB | ||||
| 0 | Emery Simmons | WR | ||||
| 1 | Khafre Brown | WR | ||||
| 3 | Antoine Green | WR | ||||
| 5 | J.J. Jones | WR | ||||
| 11 | Josh Downs | WR | ||||
| 12 | Stephen Gosnell | WR | ||||
| 83 | Justin Olson | WR | ||||
| 18 | Bryson Nesbit | TE | ||||
| 81 | John Copenhaver | TE | ||||
| 84 | Garrett Walston | TE | ||||
| 88 | Kamari Morales | TE | ||||
| 17 | Chris Collins | DL | ||||
| 51 | Raymond Vohasek | DL | ||||
| 56 | Tomari Fox | DL | ||||
| 98 | Kevin Hester Jr. | DL | ||||
| 99 | Clyde Pinder | DL | ||||
| 5 | Jahvaree Ritzie | DT | ||||
| 6 | Keeshawn Silver | DT | ||||
| 8 | Myles Murphy | DT | ||||
| 52 | Jahlil Taylor | DT | ||||
| 7 | Eugene Asante | LB | ||||
| 8 | Zy Abercrombie | LB | ||||
| 11 | Rara Dillworth | LB | ||||
| 12 | Tomon Fox | LB | ||||
| 23 | Power Echols | LB | ||||
| 33 | Cedric Gray | LB | ||||
| 44 | Jeremiah Gemmel | LB | ||||
| 97 | Alex Nobles | LB | ||||
| 0 | Ja'Qurious Conley | DB | ||||
| 2 | Don Chapman | DB | ||||
| 3 | Cameron Roseman-Sinclair | DB | ||||
| 4 | Trey Morrison | DB | ||||
| 9 | Cam'Ron Kelly | DB | ||||
| 13 | Obi Egbuna | DB | ||||
| 20 | Tony Grimes | DB | ||||
| 24 | DeAndre Boykins | DB | ||||
| 27 | Giovanni Biggers | DB | ||||
| 28 | Dontavius Nash | DB | ||||
| 1 | Kyler McMichael | CB | ||||
| 29 | Storm Duck | CB | ||||
| 17 | Grayson Atkins | PK | ||||
| 95 | Jonathan Kim | PK | ||||
| 91 | Ben Kiernan | P | ||||
| 92 | Cole Maynard | P | ||||
| 61 | Drew Little | LS | ||||
| 10 | Desmond Evans | EDGE | ||||
| 25 | Kaimon Rucker | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →