
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @ 72Florida State | W 41–38 | +4.1 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs 53Toledo | W 32–29 | +3.9 | — | Peacock |
| 3 | Sep 18 | vs 33Purdue | W 27–13 | +17.7 | — | NBC |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 13WisconsinNEUTRAL | W 41–13 | +35.1 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 5Cincinnati | L 13–24 | +1.2 | — | NBC |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 78Virginia Tech | W 32–29 | +3.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 74USC | W 31–16 | +11.3 | — | NBC |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 59North Carolina | W 44–34 | +9.7 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 90Navy | W 34–6 | +19.2 | — | NBC |
| 11 | Nov 13 | @ 66Virginia | W 28–3 | +27.0 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 20 | vs 97Georgia Tech | W 55–0 | +27.8 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 106Stanford | W 45–14 | +22.1 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 7Oklahoma StateNEUTRAL | L 35–37 | +9.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.5% | 53rd | 41.8% | 49th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.7% | 76th | 41.7% | 30th |
| Passing success rate | 46.2% | 31st | 41.9% | 67th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.1% | 71st | 14.7% | 70th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 51st | 8.4% | 15th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.90 | 106th | 2.96 | 41st |
| Opportunity rate | 39.4% | 56th | 36.4% | 43rd |
| Stuff rate | 20.2% | 111th | 19.5% | 23rd |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 90th | 7.3% | 35th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.2% | 22nd | 33.5% | 12th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 69.6% | 22nd | 42.9% | 6th |
| Havoc rate | 12.3% | 122nd | 10.8% | 26th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.2 | 22nd | 19.7 | 15th |
| Yards / game | 426.2 | 45th | 339.8 | 30th |
| Yards / play | 5.91 | 47th | 4.89 | 27th |
| Pass yards / game | 282.5 | 20th | 188.7 | 31st |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.16 | 37th | 6.70 | 26th |
| Completion % | 64.2% | 37th | 60.0% | 65th |
| Rush yards / game | 143.8 | 83rd | 127.8 | 32nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.13 | 73rd | 3.71 | 42nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.3% | 45th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.23 | 48th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.69 | 100th | 3.33 | 5th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.4 | 51st | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Drew Pyne | QB | ||||
| 17 | Jack Coan | QB | ||||
| 20 | C'Bo Flemister | RB | ||||
| 22 | Logan Diggs | RB | ||||
| 23 | Kyren Williams | RB | ||||
| 24 | Audric Estime | RB | ||||
| 33 | Leo Albano | RB | ||||
| 0 | Braden Lenzy | WR | ||||
| 3 | Avery Davis | WR | ||||
| 4 | Kevin Austin Jr. | WR | ||||
| 5 | Joe Wilkins Jr. | WR | ||||
| 12 | Tyler Buchner | WR | ||||
| 16 | Deion Colzie | WR | ||||
| 25 | Chris Tyree | WR | ||||
| 29 | Matt Salerno | WR | ||||
| 38 | Davis Sherwood | TE | ||||
| 84 | Kevin Bauman | TE | ||||
| 85 | George Takacs | TE | ||||
| 87 | Michael Mayer | TE | ||||
| 88 | Mitchell Evans | TE | ||||
| 9 | Justin Ademilola | DL | ||||
| 12 | Jordan Botelho | DL | ||||
| 31 | NaNa Osafo-Mensah | DL | ||||
| 54 | Jacob Lacey | DL | ||||
| 90 | Alexander Ehrensberger | DL | ||||
| 7 | Isaiah Foskey | DE | ||||
| 41 | Kurt Hinish | DT | ||||
| 56 | Howard Cross III | DT | ||||
| 95 | Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa | DT | ||||
| 99 | Rylie Mills | DT | ||||
| 20 | Prince Kollie | LB | ||||
| 24 | Jack Kiser | LB | ||||
| 27 | JD Bertrand | LB | ||||
| 40 | Drew White | LB | ||||
| 46 | Adam Shibley | LB | ||||
| 48 | Will Schweitzer | LB | ||||
| 52 | Bo Bauer | LB | ||||
| 57 | Jayson Ademilola | LB | ||||
| 6 | Clarence Lewis | DB | ||||
| 11 | Ramon Henderson | DB | ||||
| 26 | Cole Neuber | DB | ||||
| 5 | Cam Hart | CB | ||||
| 28 | TaRiq Bracy | CB | ||||
| 2 | DJ Brown | S | ||||
| 3 | Houston Griffith | S | ||||
| 10 | Isaiah Pryor | S | ||||
| 14 | Kyle Hamilton | S | ||||
| 21 | Lorenzo Styles Jr. | S | ||||
| 39 | Jonathan Doerer | PK | ||||
| 91 | Josh Bryan | PK | ||||
| 98 | Harrison Leonard | PK | ||||
| 19 | Jay Bramblett | P | ||||
| 65 | Michael Vinson | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →