ACC · 2021 · Final

Duke Blue Devils 2021

3-90-8 in conference
Final TDC rank
#122
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-13.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.0
113th in FBS
Defense
-7.6
120th in FBS
Schedule
-2.5
86th toughest
Preseason
-5.8
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-13.6 now, -5.8 preseason · down 5 spots since preseason
-15-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#122

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@114CharlotteL 28–31-11.1—CBSSN
2Sep 10vsNorth Carolina A&T FCSW 45–17+3.8—ACC Network
3Sep 18vs107NorthwesternW 30–23-2.5—ACC Network
4Sep 25vs123KansasW 52–33+2.5—ACC Network
5Oct 2@59North CarolinaCONFL 7–38-22.2—ESPN2
6Oct 9vs97Georgia TechCONFL 27–31-11.1—ESPN3
7Oct 16@66VirginiaCONFL 0–48-29.7—ESPN3
8—Bye
9Oct 30@16Wake ForestCONFL 7–45-18.3—ACC Network
10Nov 6vs9PittsburghCONFL 29–54-16.3—ACC Network
11Nov 13@78Virginia TechCONFL 17–48-25.9—ACC Network
12Nov 18vs54LouisvilleCONFL 22–62-29.1—ESPN
13Nov 27vs52MiamiCONFL 10–47-27.4—ESPN3

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.3%74th48.1%109th
Rushing success rate42.9%88th50.1%112th
Passing success rate43.7%61st46.1%100th
Explosive run rate11.8%109th17.7%113th
Explosive pass rate9.7%87th15.6%126th
Line yards / carry3.2056th3.49113th
Opportunity rate36.8%87th43.3%109th
Stuff rate13.4%32nd12.8%109th
Sack rate5.4%46th3.5%119th
3rd-down conversion45.5%27th50.3%128th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%110th70.0%111th
Havoc rate6.1%6th5.4%125th
Box score · season totals
Points / game22.8102nd40.2125th
Yards / game418.254th518.0130th
Yards / play5.2290th6.97123rd
Pass yards / game237.963rd301.7129th
Yards / pass att.6.9692nd9.24125th
Completion %64.6%31st59.5%57th
Rush yards / game180.348th206.3117th
Yards / carry4.1374th5.29115th
3rd-down conv. %42.4%44th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.75103rd——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2566th1.58104th
Penalty yards / game61.7100th——

Players

68 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

68 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →