Final TDC rank
#54
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+2.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.0
33rd in FBS
Defense
-0.2
67th in FBS
Schedule
+0.9
38th toughest
Preseason
+0.5
rating going in
2021 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+2.8 now, +0.5 preseason · up 6 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 6 | vs 24Ole MissNEUTRAL | L 24–43 | -11.5 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | vs Eastern Kentucky FCS | W 30–3 | +3.5 | — | ACCNX |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 55UCF | W 42–35 | +7.4 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 72Florida StateCONF | W 31–23 | +9.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Oct 2 | @ 16Wake ForestCONF | L 34–37 | +7.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 66VirginiaCONF | L 33–34 | -3.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 76Boston CollegeCONF | W 28–14 | +10.2 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 18NC StateCONF | L 13–28 | -4.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 11ClemsonCONF | L 24–30 | +1.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 13 | vs 80SyracuseCONF | W 41–3 | +24.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 122DukeCONF | W 62–22 | +18.3 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 35Kentucky | L 21–52 | -23.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 27Air ForceNEUTRAL | L 28–31 | +4.0 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.2% | 69th | 44.1% | 72nd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.5% | 87th | 47.2% | 92nd |
| Passing success rate | 45.1% | 42nd | 41.3% | 59th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.3% | 15th | 16.5% | 99th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 47th | 11.1% | 79th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.26 | 46th | 3.28 | 93rd |
| Opportunity rate | 43.3% | 27th | 41.2% | 97th |
| Stuff rate | 17.6% | 87th | 16.5% | 64th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 35th | 6.8% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.4% | 47th | 37.5% | 40th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.4% | 26th | 68.2% | 107th |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 54th | 8.6% | 79th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.6 | 43rd | 27.3 | 75th |
| Yards / game | 446.3 | 21st | 401.8 | 84th |
| Yards / play | 6.53 | 8th | 5.56 | 81st |
| Pass yards / game | 236.5 | 65th | 228.0 | 86th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.45 | 24th | 6.97 | 43rd |
| Completion % | 60.7% | 69th | 64.7% | 106th |
| Rush yards / game | 209.8 | 22nd | 156.7 | 75th |
| Yards / carry | 5.41 | 6th | 4.52 | 95th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.8% | 70th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 22nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.54 | 25th | 2.42 | 53rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.9 | 72nd | — | — |
Players
72 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
72 players
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →