
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs 44NebraskaCONF | W 30–22 | +10.3 | — | FOX |
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 42UTSA | L 30–37 | -4.5 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 11 | @ 66Virginia | L 14–42 | -22.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs 71MarylandCONF | L 17–20 | -5.8 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | @ 33PurdueCONF | L 9–13 | +4.3 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 2 | vs 114Charlotte | W 24–14 | -2.7 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 9 | vs 13WisconsinCONF | L 0–24 | -16.6 | — | BTN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 23 | @ 19Penn StateCONF | W 20–18 | +12.0 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 30 | vs 92RutgersCONF | L 14–20 | -12.7 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 6 | @ 29MinnesotaCONF | W 14–6 | +16.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 20 | @ 32IowaCONF | L 23–33 | -1.5 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 27 | vs 107NorthwesternCONF | W 47–14 | +17.6 | — | BTN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.8% | 110th | 44.0% | 71st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.8% | 73rd | 46.2% | 83rd |
| Passing success rate | 32.7% | 123rd | 41.8% | 64th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.7% | 66th | 13.9% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.3% | 106th | 11.6% | 91st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.38 | 26th | 3.32 | 102nd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.2% | 38th | 40.2% | 90th |
| Stuff rate | 12.3% | 18th | 9.6% | 127th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 90th | 6.8% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.0% | 59th | 36.6% | 31st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.0% | 102nd | 46.3% | 13th |
| Havoc rate | 6.4% | 11th | 7.0% | 105th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.3 | 113th | 22.3 | 31st |
| Yards / game | 329.8 | 112th | 366.3 | 50th |
| Yards / play | 4.87 | 109th | 5.05 | 40th |
| Pass yards / game | 156.2 | 121st | 199.1 | 43rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.82 | 124th | 7.13 | 53rd |
| Completion % | 51.2% | 125th | 58.8% | 44th |
| Rush yards / game | 173.6 | 55th | 151.1 | 65th |
| Yards / carry | 4.45 | 57th | 3.79 | 48th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.2% | 79th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 22nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 46th | 2.58 | 45th |
| Penalty yards / game | 52.8 | 65th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Artur Sitkowski | QB | ||||
| 18 | Brandon Peters | QB | ||||
| 0 | Josh McCray | RB | ||||
| 2 | Chase Brown | RB | ||||
| 3 | Jakari Norwood | RB | ||||
| 22 | Chase Hayden | RB | ||||
| 23 | Reggie Love III | RB | ||||
| 26 | Mike Epstein | RB | ||||
| 6 | Deuce Spann | WR | ||||
| 11 | Carlos Sandy | WR | ||||
| 13 | Pat Bryant | WR | ||||
| 14 | Casey Washington | WR | ||||
| 19 | Dalevon Campbell | WR | ||||
| 86 | Donny Navarro III | WR | ||||
| 42 | Michael Marchese | TE | ||||
| 82 | Luke Ford | TE | ||||
| 87 | Daniel Barker | TE | ||||
| 89 | Tip Reiman | TE | ||||
| 64 | Josh Kreutz | OL | ||||
| 76 | Ethan Wiederkehr | OL | ||||
| 33 | Ezekiel Holmes | DL | ||||
| 46 | Verdis Brown | DL | ||||
| 47 | DJ Johnson | DL | ||||
| 91 | Jamal Woods | DL | ||||
| 88 | Keith Randolph | DT | ||||
| 93 | Calvin Avery | DT | ||||
| 94 | Jer'Zhan Newton | DT | ||||
| 96 | Roderick Perry II | DT | ||||
| 5 | Calvin Hart Jr. | LB | ||||
| 24 | Derrick Smith | LB | ||||
| 35 | Jake Hansen | LB | ||||
| 38 | Isaac Darkangelo | LB | ||||
| 44 | Tarique Barnes | LB | ||||
| 45 | Khalan Tolson | LB | ||||
| 46 | Alec McEachern | LB | ||||
| 51 | Sean Coghlan | LB | ||||
| 92 | Isaiah Gay | LB | ||||
| 99 | Owen Carney | LB | ||||
| 1 | Isaiah Williams | DB | ||||
| 6 | Tony Adams | DB | ||||
| 7 | Kendall Smith | DB | ||||
| 8 | Eddie Smith | DB | ||||
| 20 | Tyler Strain | DB | ||||
| 23 | Tahveon Nicholson | DB | ||||
| 24 | Prather Hudson | DB | ||||
| 41 | Joriell Washington | DB | ||||
| 31 | Devon Witherspoon | CB | ||||
| 21 | Quan Martin | S | ||||
| 25 | Kerby Joseph | S | ||||
| 30 | Sydney Brown | S | ||||
| 5 | Caleb Griffin | PK | ||||
| 17 | James McCourt | PK | ||||
| 14 | Blake Hayes | P | ||||
| 31 | Nick Zecchino | LS | ||||
| 29 | Christian Bobak | DEF | ||||
| 49 | Seth Coleman-Lyles | EDGE | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →