ACC · 2026

Florida State Seminoles

Head coach Mike Norvell · Doak Campbell Stadium
1-20-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#45
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+3.1
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+4.1
24th in FBS
Defense
-1.0
81st in FBS
Schedule so far
+4.1
5th toughest
Projected
5.7-6.3
bowl-eligible 56%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+3.1 now, +2.9 preseason · down 10 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#45

Final record odds

5.7-6.3 expected · most likely 6-6 (24%)
2-106%3-914%4-823%5-724%6-619%7-59%8-49-3

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vs115New Mexico StateW 34–17+7.6—CW
1Sep 7vs36SMUCONFL 24–27-1.5—ESPN
2—Bye
3Sep 19@5AlabamaL 36–50+3.2—ESPN2
4Sep 26vsCentral Arkansas FCSFlorida State −30.3 · o/u 52.3—96%ACC Network
5Oct 3vs28VirginiaCONFFlorida State −0.2 · o/u 53.9—51%
6Oct 9@30LouisvilleCONFLouisville −5.6 · o/u 64.0—36%ESPN
7Oct 17@3MiamiCONFMiami −14.4 · o/u 52.8—17%
8—Bye
9Oct 31vs70ClemsonCONFFlorida State −5.8 · o/u 52.5—65%
10Nov 7@119Boston CollegeCONFFlorida State −8.0 · o/u 52.1—70%
11Nov 13@18PittsburghCONFPittsburgh −8.2 · o/u 51.9—30%ESPN
12Nov 21vs60NC StateCONFFlorida State −4.8 · o/u 55.8—62%
13Nov 27vs23FloridaFlorida −1.2 · o/u 60.4—47%ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.19462nd+0.309131st
Success rate41.0%101st46.3%121st
Explosiveness1.5384th1.429121st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.6%106th48.5%127th
Rushing success rate43.2%90th46.0%112th
Passing success rate37.2%111th50.5%127th
Explosive run rate11.7%98th16.1%114th
Explosive pass rate17.7%16th13.0%114th
Line yards / carry3.0587th3.16101st
Opportunity rate36.9%93rd41.4%116th
Stuff rate17.1%86th17.2%87th
Sack rate8.1%121st2.7%112th
3rd-down conversion42.9%64th51.2%126th
Red-zone TD rate84.6%19th44.4%33rd
Havoc rate14.7%104th13.6%78th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.372nd31.3116th
Yards / game404.771st490.3135th
Yards / play5.9273rd7.25135th
Pass yards / game234.765th340.7137th
Yards / pass att.8.9036th9.38131st
Completion %58.2%109th68.8%127th
Rush yards / game170.063rd149.790th
Yards / carry4.3077th4.99122nd
3rd-down conv. %40.9%76th51.2%129th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.6799th1.6729th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.33104th1.3396th
Penalty yards / game44.032nd56.763rd

Roster

100 players · Head coach Mike Norvell

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Malachi MarshallQBJR6' 2"168Charlotte, NC
4Dean DeNobileQBSR6' 2"203Upper Saddle River, NJ
9Kevin SperryQBSO6' 1"210Denton, TX
12Michael GrantQBSR6' 3"216Tallahassee, FL
14Ashton DanielsQBSR6' 2"225Buford, GA
16Jaden O'NealQBFR6' 3"231Long Beach, CA
3Samuel Singleton Jr.RBSR5' 11"205Charleston, SC
21Zay ParksRBJR5' 11"204Crestview, FL
22Gemari SandsRBSR5' 11"208Fort Lauderdale, FL
24Amari ThomasRBFR5' 11"210Marianna, FL
32Ousmane KromahRBSO6' 1"216Leesburg, GA
0Duce RobinsonWRSR6' 6"230Phoenix, AZ
7Jasen LopezWRFR6' 0"182Hollywood, FL
8Micahi DanzyWRJR6' 1"194Tallahassee, FL
11Devin CarterWRFR6' 1"176Atlanta, GA
13Tae'Shaun GelseyWRSO6' 4"227Jacksonville, FL
15Jayvan BoggsWRSO6' 1"209Cocoa, FL
82Teriq MalloryWRSO6' 5"215New Haven, CT
84Brandon BennettWRFR6' 0"180Miramar, FL
86Tony BlandWRFR6' 0"193Tampa, FL
88Keenen JeuneWRFR6' 0"195Tallahassee, FL
6Desirrio RilesTESR6' 3"235Jacksonville, FL
18Landen ThomasTEJR6' 4"234Moultrie, GA
23Chase LoftinTESO6' 6"235Omaha, NE
44Gavin MarkeyTESO6' 1"234Athens, GA
80Corbyn FordhamTEFR6' 4"235Ponte Vedra Beach, FL
83Xavier TillerTEFR6' 5"239Atlanta, GA
85Drew HardwickTEFR6' 5"224Milton, GA
89Greyson LabiadTESR6' 3"249Celebration, FL
51Paul BowlingOLSO6' 3"305Marietta, GA
52Chavez ThompsonOLSO6' 1"318Cocoa, FL
54Chastan BrownOLSO6' 8"300Warner Robins, GA
56Steven PickardOLFR6' 5"335Charleston, SC
58Luke Francis Jr.OLFR6' 5"349Croydon, England
59Steven MooreOLJR6' 5"327Memphis, TN
63Jakobe GreenOLFR6' 3"315Quincy, FL
65André OttoOLSR6' 5"318Key West, FL
69Mike IonataOLFR6' 6"308East Lake, FL
71Nate PabstOLSR6' 7"315Springdale, OH
72Donald AkhibiOLFR6' 7"260Douglasville, GA
73Nikau HepiOLFR6' 7"379Auckland, New Zealand
74Jonathan DanielsOLJR6' 4"321Pensacola, FL
75Sean PoretOLSO6' 5"296Sandy Springs, GA
77Xavier ChaplinOLSR6' 8"346Beaufort, SC
78Jayden ToddOLJR6' 6"303Dublin, GA
79Chimdia NwaiwuOLSR6' 5"307Coppell, TX
1Darryll DesirDLSO6' 5"259Miami, FL
3Mandrell DesirDLSO6' 4"270Miami, FL
5Daniel LyonsDLSR6' 4"292Miami, FL
8Deante McCrayDLSR6' 4"291Jacksonville, FL
13Deamontae DiggsDLSR6' 5"272Mckeesport, PA
15Rylan KennedyDLSR6' 3"251Mansfield, TX
32Jalen AndersonDLJR6' 2"242Slidell, LA
54Earnest RankinsDLFR6' 4"274Atlanta, GA
88Jordan SandersDLSR6' 4"310Inglewood, CA
90Jaemin PinckneyDLFR6' 5"222Ridgeville, SC
91Cam BrooksDLFR6' 4"243Thomasville, GA
92Judah DanielsDLFR6' 3"272Lehigh Acres, FL
95Christian Collins-MurrayDLFR6' 3"224St. Petersburg, FL
96Tylon LeeDLSO6' 4"271Pace, FL
98Wihtlley CadeauDLFR6' 5"284Atlanta, GA
9Omar Graham Jr.LBSR6' 1"234Fort Lauderdale, FL
10Chris JonesLBJR6' 1"231Byram, MS
20Blake NichelsonLBSR6' 3"222Ripon, CA
28Mikai GbayorLBSR6' 2"222Irvington, NJ
29Caleb LaValleeLBSR6' 1"225Marietta, GA
31Karon MaycockLBFR6' 1"220Miami, FL
35Ethan PritchardLBSO6' 2"224Sanford, FL
38Daylen GreenLBFR6' 1"213Bainbridge, GA
41AJ CottrillLBSR6' 0"229Tampa, FL
42Chris ThomasLBJR6' 2"230Southaven, MS
43Trent RogersLBFR6' 3"216Havana, FL
45Noah LaValleeLBFR6' 2"227Marietta, GA
53Brandon TorresLBSR6' 1"232Naples, FL
0Quindarrius JonesDBSR6' 2"187Meridian, MS
4Charles Lester IIIDBJR6' 1"195Sarasota, FL
6Ja'Bril RawlsDBSR6' 1"178Pensacola, FL
7Ashlynd BarkerDBSR6' 3"217Columbus, GA
11CJ Richard Jr.DBJR6' 1"200Houston, TX
12Nehemiah ChandlerDBJR6' 1"183Jacksonville, FL
14Ma'Khi JonesDBSO5' 11"195Newark, NJ
16Karson HobbsDBJR6' 1"189Cincinnati, OH
18Jamari HowardDBJR6' 2"190Miami, FL
19Jarvis Boatwright Jr.DBJR6' 1"197Clearwater, FL
21Max RedmonDBSO6' 1"196West Palm Beach, FL
22Zae ThomasDBSO6' 3"207Fort Lauderdale, FL
23Chuck KennonDBFR6' 2"186Bradenton, FL
24K.J. KirklandDBSR6' 1"209Jacksonville, FL
26Ricky Knight IIIDBJR6' 0"184West Palm Beach, FL
27Jordan CrutchfieldDBFR6' 3"218Fort Pierce, FL
33Antonio Cromartie Jr.DBSO6' 0"190Atlanta, GA
37Tre Bell IIIDBFR5' 11"199Opa Locka, FL
47Donny HiebertDBSR6' 2"201Gainesville, FL
39Gabe PanikowskiPKSR5' 9"206San Diego, CA
93Conor McAneneyPKSO6' 3"213Plumbridge, Ireland
36Daniel HughesPSR6' 5"219Melbourne, Australia
85Ethan PostPSO6' 3"230Rochester, MN
87Carter JulaPJR6' 1"205Sarasota, FL
48Caleb BowersLSSR6' 1"237Whitefish Bay, WI
53Alex NoccoLSSO6' 2"210Tampa, FL

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →