
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 13LSUNEUTRAL | W 45–24 | +33.9 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 114Southern Miss | W 66–13 | +22.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 91Boston CollegeCONF | W 31–29 | 0.0 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 21ClemsonCONF | W 31–24 | +17.5 | — | ABC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 47Virginia TechCONF | W 39–17 | +22.7 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 81SyracuseCONF | W 41–3 | +23.1 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 26DukeCONF | W 38–20 | +22.5 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 82Wake ForestCONF | W 41–16 | +23.5 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 84PittsburghCONF | W 24–7 | +16.0 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 33MiamiCONF | W 27–20 | +9.5 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs North Alabama FCS | W 58–13 | +8.1 | — | CW |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 55Florida | W 24–15 | +13.8 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 23LouisvilleNEUTRAL | W 16–6 | +17.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 2GeorgiaNEUTRAL | L 3–63 | -17.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.8% | 55th | 38.6% | 26th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.7% | 90th | 44.5% | 76th |
| Passing success rate | 45.7% | 27th | 33.2% | 4th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.3% | 54th | 16.1% | 99th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.6% | 27th | 7.9% | 13th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.71 | 130th | 2.82 | 19th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.7% | 113th | 33.7% | 17th |
| Stuff rate | 19.2% | 109th | 20.0% | 20th |
| Sack rate | 5.3% | 57th | 9.8% | 3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.2% | 87th | 28.1% | 4th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.5% | 87th | 50.0% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 9.7% | 108th | 12.2% | 5th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.1 | 22nd | 19.3 | 18th |
| Yards / game | 401.5 | 54th | 331.9 | 28th |
| Yards / play | 6.10 | 31st | 4.79 | 20th |
| Pass yards / game | 251.4 | 46th | 156.4 | 6th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.13 | 35th | 6.05 | 8th |
| Completion % | 60.0% | 77th | 48.3% | 1st |
| Rush yards / game | 150.1 | 77th | 152.2 | 72nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.54 | 46th | 4.19 | 68th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.3% | 92nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.64 | 6th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.79 | 49th | 3.29 | 7th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.6 | 89th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →