The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 37Utah | L 11–24 | -5.8 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs McNeese FCS | W 49–7 | +7.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 16TennesseeCONF | W 29–16 | +20.2 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 125Charlotte | W 22–7 | 0.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 41KentuckyCONF | L 14–33 | -12.5 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 115VanderbiltCONF | W 38–14 | +12.3 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 60South CarolinaCONF | W 41–39 | +5.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 2GeorgiaCONFNEUTRAL | L 20–43 | -3.6 | — | CBS |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 68ArkansasCONF | L 36–39 | -6.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 13LSUCONF | L 35–52 | -1.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 14MissouriCONF | L 31–33 | +12.1 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 10Florida State | L 15–24 | +2.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.5% | 46th | 39.1% | 31st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.6% | 60th | 37.8% | 20th |
| Passing success rate | 44.5% | 36th | 40.5% | 57th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.4% | 27th | 18.7% | 128th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.7% | 36th | 11.0% | 85th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 64th | 3.03 | 43rd |
| Opportunity rate | 41.4% | 35th | 37.8% | 65th |
| Stuff rate | 18.0% | 93rd | 16.9% | 62nd |
| Sack rate | 7.9% | 109th | 6.3% | 55th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.6% | 92nd | 37.1% | 39th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.4% | 58th | 56.8% | 38th |
| Havoc rate | 9.2% | 97th | 8.3% | 63rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.5 | 60th | 27.6 | 76th |
| Yards / game | 408.8 | 47th | 382.3 | 70th |
| Yards / play | 5.77 | 51st | 6.25 | 122nd |
| Pass yards / game | 259.3 | 41st | 214.8 | 73rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.98 | 41st | 8.34 | 122nd |
| Completion % | 72.3% | 2nd | 59.8% | 54th |
| Rush yards / game | 149.5 | 78th | 155.6 | 79th |
| Yards / carry | 4.26 | 70th | 4.84 | 111th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.7% | 89th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.25 | 117th | 1.83 | 94th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.6 | 59th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →