The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 55Florida | W 24–11 | +12.7 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 102Baylor | W 20–13 | +3.8 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Weber State FCS | W 31–7 | +0.8 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 35UCLACONF | W 14–7 | +9.3 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 20Oregon StateCONF | L 7–21 | -3.1 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 67CaliforniaCONF | W 34–14 | +16.7 | — | PACN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 25USCCONF | W 34–32 | +11.6 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 3OregonCONF | L 6–35 | -10.1 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 108Arizona StateCONF | W 55–3 | +23.7 | — | PACN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 12WashingtonCONF | L 28–35 | +8.6 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 17ArizonaCONF | L 18–42 | -12.3 | — | PACN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 83ColoradoCONF | W 23–17 | 0.0 | — | PACN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 70NorthwesternNEUTRAL | L 7–14 | -8.4 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.2% | 85th | 37.4% | 16th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.7% | 81st | 39.9% | 34th |
| Passing success rate | 38.9% | 91st | 35.9% | 14th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.5% | 85th | 14.9% | 71st |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.5% | 120th | 11.0% | 85th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.14 | 72nd | 3.00 | 40th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.1% | 64th | 36.7% | 49th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 79th | 19.9% | 22nd |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 86th | 7.6% | 25th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.9% | 45th | 31.3% | 10th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.5% | 112th | 59.4% | 61st |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 83rd | 9.8% | 32nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.1 | 100th | 19.3 | 19th |
| Yards / game | 348.4 | 94th | 307.1 | 13th |
| Yards / play | 4.95 | 104th | 4.98 | 31st |
| Pass yards / game | 165.8 | 120th | 203.6 | 57th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.57 | 101st | 6.93 | 45th |
| Completion % | 57.6% | 97th | 58.4% | 36th |
| Rush yards / game | 182.5 | 34th | 82.8 | 4th |
| Yards / carry | 4.22 | 76th | 3.12 | 9th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.3% | 49th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 59th | 2.77 | 18th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.6 | 22nd | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →