
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 57RutgersCONF | L 7–24 | -13.2 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 121UTEP | W 38–7 | +13.2 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 26Duke | L 14–38 | -14.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 74MinnesotaCONF | W 37–34 | -1.2 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 6Penn StateCONF | L 13–41 | -11.6 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs Howard FCS | W 23–20 | -20.2 | — | BTN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 63NebraskaCONF | L 9–17 | -5.6 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 29MarylandCONF | W 33–27 | +9.8 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 51IowaCONFNEUTRAL | L 7–10 | -0.3 | — | Peacock |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 44WisconsinCONF | W 24–10 | +19.9 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 79PurdueCONF | W 23–15 | +3.0 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 75IllinoisCONF | W 45–43 | +2.7 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 37UtahNEUTRAL | W 14–7 | +11.6 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.7% | 110th | 43.4% | 80th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.1% | 110th | 44.0% | 67th |
| Passing success rate | 37.3% | 100th | 42.8% | 94th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.7% | 126th | 14.1% | 59th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 93rd | 8.6% | 27th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.76 | 128th | 3.10 | 61st |
| Opportunity rate | 34.2% | 119th | 33.5% | 15th |
| Stuff rate | 21.7% | 130th | 15.7% | 74th |
| Sack rate | 11.5% | 128th | 7.4% | 29th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.7% | 74th | 43.1% | 97th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.2% | 69th | 60.0% | 65th |
| Havoc rate | 12.0% | 129th | 8.2% | 70th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.1 | 106th | 22.5 | 42nd |
| Yards / game | 303.9 | 124th | 340.8 | 36th |
| Yards / play | 4.40 | 127th | 4.97 | 30th |
| Pass yards / game | 202.0 | 96th | 168.5 | 16th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.75 | 94th | 6.64 | 27th |
| Completion % | 62.0% | 62nd | 64.8% | 115th |
| Rush yards / game | 101.9 | 121st | 157.8 | 83rd |
| Yards / carry | 2.89 | 128th | 4.07 | 61st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.1% | 57th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.69 | 7th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.92 | 130th | 2.31 | 49th |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.6 | 26th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →