The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Towson FCS | W 38–6 | +3.6 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 125Charlotte | W 38–20 | +3.0 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 101Virginia | W 42–14 | +17.2 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 95Michigan StateCONF | W 31–9 | +19.4 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 92IndianaCONF | W 44–17 | +18.0 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 4Ohio StateCONF | L 17–37 | +0.1 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 75IllinoisCONF | L 24–27 | -7.4 | — | NBC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 70NorthwesternCONF | L 27–33 | -4.8 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 6Penn StateCONF | L 15–51 | -14.4 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 63NebraskaCONF | W 13–10 | +5.4 | — | Peacock |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 1MichiganCONF | L 24–31 | +12.6 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 57RutgersCONF | W 42–24 | +21.8 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 53AuburnNEUTRAL | W 31–13 | +20.5 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.1% | 52nd | 40.7% | 42nd |
| Rushing success rate | 42.6% | 82nd | 44.3% | 71st |
| Passing success rate | 45.2% | 30th | 37.1% | 22nd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.2% | 102nd | 10.9% | 13th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.8% | 35th | 8.3% | 19th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.05 | 86th | 3.19 | 76th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.6% | 116th | 36.3% | 42nd |
| Stuff rate | 15.1% | 54th | 12.7% | 118th |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 39th | 7.7% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.4% | 24th | 33.8% | 17th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.9% | 14th | 54.8% | 30th |
| Havoc rate | 6.8% | 32nd | 8.9% | 51st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.7 | 54th | 22.5 | 41st |
| Yards / game | 387.3 | 65th | 334.1 | 31st |
| Yards / play | 5.68 | 56th | 4.68 | 14th |
| Pass yards / game | 278.9 | 22nd | 192.1 | 35th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.60 | 53rd | 6.55 | 21st |
| Completion % | 64.4% | 31st | 57.0% | 25th |
| Rush yards / game | 108.4 | 116th | 125.5 | 34th |
| Yards / carry | 3.70 | 106th | 3.40 | 20th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.9% | 37th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 98th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.23 | 82nd | 2.62 | 27th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.5 | 88th | — | — |
74 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →