The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 4Ohio StateCONF | L 3–23 | -5.0 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs Indiana State FCS | W 41–7 | +4.3 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 23LouisvilleNEUTRAL | L 14–21 | +0.7 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 131Akron | W 29–27 | -15.7 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 29MarylandCONF | L 17–44 | -16.1 | — | BTN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 1MichiganCONF | L 7–52 | -6.7 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 57RutgersCONF | L 14–31 | -18.3 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 6Penn StateCONF | L 24–33 | +9.9 | — | CBS |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 44WisconsinCONF | W 20–14 | +6.8 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 75IllinoisCONF | L 45–48 | -2.3 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 95Michigan StateCONF | L 21–24 | -10.7 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 79PurdueCONF | L 31–35 | -3.9 | — | BTN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 82nd | 46.0% | 114th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.5% | 113th | 47.2% | 108th |
| Passing success rate | 43.4% | 50th | 44.8% | 116th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 94th | 13.4% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 52nd | 11.3% | 94th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.34 | 39th | 3.23 | 90th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 68th | 40.7% | 101st |
| Stuff rate | 11.4% | 10th | 15.7% | 74th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 44th | 4.4% | 115th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.7% | 91st | 36.4% | 33rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.7% | 76th | 65.8% | 94th |
| Havoc rate | 5.7% | 13th | 6.3% | 109th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.0 | 70th | 30.1 | 101st |
| Yards / game | 333.7 | 101st | 394.1 | 86th |
| Yards / play | 4.86 | 109th | 5.68 | 87th |
| Pass yards / game | 212.8 | 84th | 227.6 | 97th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.97 | 83rd | 7.82 | 101st |
| Completion % | 58.7% | 90th | 60.8% | 68th |
| Rush yards / game | 120.9 | 102nd | 156.3 | 81st |
| Yards / carry | 3.35 | 119th | 4.18 | 67th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.7% | 87th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 71st | 1.67 | 108th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.6 | 65th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →