The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 70NorthwesternCONF | W 24–7 | +13.1 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 129Temple | W 36–7 | +9.4 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 47Virginia Tech | W 35–16 | +19.7 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 1MichiganCONF | L 7–31 | +0.7 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs Wagner FCS | W 52–3 | +9.5 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 44WisconsinCONF | L 13–24 | -5.1 | — | Peacock |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 95Michigan StateCONF | W 27–24 | -4.7 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 92IndianaCONF | W 31–14 | +15.1 | — | BTN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 4Ohio StateCONF | L 16–35 | -4.0 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 51IowaCONF | L 0–22 | -16.7 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 6Penn StateCONF | L 6–27 | -2.1 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 29MarylandCONF | L 24–42 | -14.2 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 33MiamiNEUTRAL | W 31–24 | +12.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.4% | 92nd | 44.4% | 96th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.8% | 67th | 47.9% | 114th |
| Passing success rate | 35.0% | 115th | 40.7% | 61st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.1% | 121st | 12.9% | 36th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.2% | 112th | 8.8% | 29th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 95th | 3.23 | 88th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.3% | 91st | 37.9% | 67th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 69th | 12.4% | 121st |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 44th | 5.6% | 74th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.3% | 94th | 38.6% | 53rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.0% | 53rd | 71.1% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 8.0% | 63rd | 7.1% | 94th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.4 | 97th | 21.2 | 33rd |
| Yards / game | 306.2 | 123rd | 313.5 | 16th |
| Yards / play | 4.83 | 112th | 4.86 | 24th |
| Pass yards / game | 137.5 | 127th | 166.5 | 14th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.08 | 122nd | 6.14 | 11th |
| Completion % | 48.3% | 133rd | 59.8% | 53rd |
| Rush yards / game | 168.7 | 56th | 137.2 | 43rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.24 | 73rd | 4.02 | 54th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.7% | 87th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 11th | 1.62 | 111th |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.1 | 41st | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →