The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 106Utah State | W 24–14 | +0.9 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 34Iowa State | W 20–13 | +14.7 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 117Western Michigan | W 41–10 | +14.0 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 6Penn StateCONF | L 0–31 | -7.6 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 95Michigan StateCONF | W 26–16 | +2.3 | — | NBC |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 79PurdueCONF | W 20–14 | +1.0 | — | Peacock |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 44WisconsinCONF | W 15–6 | +14.9 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 74MinnesotaCONF | L 10–12 | -6.2 | — | NBC |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 70NorthwesternCONFNEUTRAL | W 10–7 | +1.6 | — | Peacock |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 57RutgersCONF | W 22–0 | +20.7 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 75IllinoisCONF | W 15–13 | -2.4 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 63NebraskaCONF | W 13–10 | +5.4 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 1MichiganNEUTRAL | L 0–26 | -2.6 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 16TennesseeNEUTRAL | L 0–35 | -18.1 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 32.9% | 133rd | 35.4% | 7th |
| Rushing success rate | 33.7% | 131st | 37.3% | 13th |
| Passing success rate | 32.0% | 128th | 33.8% | 6th |
| Explosive run rate | 8.7% | 132nd | 7.4% | 1st |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.3% | 129th | 4.2% | 1st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.58 | 132nd | 2.96 | 34th |
| Opportunity rate | 28.6% | 132nd | 31.6% | 9th |
| Stuff rate | 19.9% | 115th | 13.8% | 105th |
| Sack rate | 8.4% | 111th | 5.8% | 70th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.2% | 126th | 31.9% | 12th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 39.4% | 131st | 44.8% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 10.1% | 116th | 7.2% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 15.4 | 132nd | 14.8 | 4th |
| Yards / game | 235.4 | 133rd | 282.5 | 7th |
| Yards / play | 3.80 | 133rd | 3.94 | 2nd |
| Pass yards / game | 118.6 | 130th | 157.4 | 7th |
| Yards / pass att. | 4.77 | 133rd | 5.06 | 2nd |
| Completion % | 48.9% | 132nd | 56.1% | 14th |
| Rush yards / game | 116.8 | 109th | 111.8 | 17th |
| Yards / carry | 3.36 | 117th | 3.14 | 10th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.4% | 129th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.57 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.36 | 92nd | 2.36 | 47th |
| Penalty yards / game | 30.9 | 5th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Deacon Hill | QB | ||||
| 11 | Marco Lainez III | QB | ||||
| 12 | Cade McNamara | QB | ||||
| 2 | Kaleb Johnson | RB | ||||
| 4 | Leshon Williams | RB | ||||
| 8 | TJ Washington Jr. | RB | ||||
| 9 | Jaziun Patterson | RB | ||||
| 22 | Max White | RB | ||||
| 28 | Kamari Moulton | RB | ||||
| 0 | Diante Vines | WR | ||||
| 3 | Kaleb Brown | WR | ||||
| 6 | Seth Anderson | WR | ||||
| 21 | Kaden Wetjen | WR | ||||
| 89 | Nico Ragaini | WR | ||||
| 48 | Zach Ortwerth | TE | ||||
| 82 | Johnny Pascuzzi | TE | ||||
| 83 | Erick All Jr. | TE | ||||
| 85 | Luke Lachey | TE | ||||
| 86 | Steven Stilianos | TE | ||||
| 87 | Addison Ostrenga | TE | ||||
| 88 | Hayden Large | TE | ||||
| 65 | Teddy Prochazka | OL | ||||
| 45 | Deontae Craig | DL | ||||
| 49 | Ethan Hurkett | DL | ||||
| 55 | Jeremiah Pittman | DL | ||||
| 13 | Joe Evans | DE | ||||
| 54 | Anterio Thompson | DT | ||||
| 85 | Logan Lee | DT | ||||
| 94 | Yahya Black | DT | ||||
| 95 | Aaron Graves | DT | ||||
| 10 | Nick Jackson | LB | ||||
| 12 | Jaxon Rexroth | LB | ||||
| 34 | Jay Higgins IV | LB | ||||
| 35 | Tanner Pollock | LB | ||||
| 37 | Kyler Fisher | LB | ||||
| 41 | Jaden Harrell | LB | ||||
| 43 | Karson Sharar | LB | ||||
| 4 | Koen Entringer | DB | ||||
| 7 | John Nestor | DB | ||||
| 8 | Deshaun Lee | DB | ||||
| 16 | Jamison Heinz | DB | ||||
| 17 | Brenden Deasfernandes | DB | ||||
| 30 | Quinn Schulte | DB | ||||
| 2 | TJ Hall Jr. | CB | ||||
| 3 | Cooper DeJean | CB | ||||
| 27 | Jermari Harris | CB | ||||
| 1 | Xavier Nwankpa | S | ||||
| 29 | Sebastian Castro | S | ||||
| 18 | Drew Stevens | PK | ||||
| 92 | Marshall Meeder | PK | ||||
| 9 | Tory Taylor | P | ||||
| 39 | Luke Elkin | LS | ||||
| 10 | Brian Allen Jr. | EDGE | ||||
| 48 | Max Llewellyn | EDGE | ||||
| 77 | Connor Colby | G | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →