The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 116Buffalo | W 38–17 | +8.7 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 52Washington State | L 22–31 | -4.0 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 90Georgia Southern | W 35–14 | +14.2 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 79PurdueCONF | W 38–17 | +21.1 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 57RutgersCONF | W 24–13 | +9.7 | — | Peacock |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 51IowaCONF | L 6–15 | -8.8 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 75IllinoisCONF | W 25–21 | +4.7 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 4Ohio StateCONF | L 10–24 | +1.0 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 92IndianaCONF | L 14–20 | -7.9 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 70NorthwesternCONF | L 10–24 | -17.9 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 63NebraskaCONF | W 24–17 | +4.3 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 74MinnesotaCONF | W 28–14 | +14.9 | — | FS1 |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 13LSUNEUTRAL | L 31–35 | +8.9 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.1% | 52nd | 41.4% | 52nd |
| Rushing success rate | 50.2% | 17th | 40.6% | 38th |
| Passing success rate | 38.7% | 92nd | 42.2% | 85th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.3% | 73rd | 13.8% | 53rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.2% | 123rd | 8.1% | 15th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.52 | 7th | 3.07 | 51st |
| Opportunity rate | 40.2% | 52nd | 37.5% | 60th |
| Stuff rate | 11.2% | 7th | 18.1% | 44th |
| Sack rate | 4.2% | 33rd | 6.2% | 61st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.4% | 30th | 39.9% | 63rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 37th | 64.9% | 91st |
| Havoc rate | 4.7% | 4th | 8.6% | 54th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.5 | 94th | 20.1 | 21st |
| Yards / game | 381.2 | 70th | 343.8 | 39th |
| Yards / play | 5.24 | 82nd | 4.95 | 27th |
| Pass yards / game | 220.1 | 71st | 194.5 | 41st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.10 | 120th | 6.51 | 20th |
| Completion % | 59.9% | 78th | 60.9% | 70th |
| Rush yards / game | 161.2 | 61st | 134.9 | 41st |
| Yards / carry | 4.62 | 40th | 3.84 | 41st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.2% | 26th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.77 | 47th | 2.23 | 58th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.1 | 53rd | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →