The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 10Florida StateNEUTRAL | L 24–45 | -7.3 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Grambling FCS | W 72–10 | +14.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 77Mississippi StateCONF | W 41–14 | +25.6 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 68ArkansasCONF | W 34–31 | -0.3 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 15Ole MissCONF | L 49–55 | +7.3 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 14MissouriCONF | W 49–39 | +24.1 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 53AuburnCONF | W 48–18 | +26.1 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 89Army | W 62–0 | +30.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 8AlabamaCONF | L 28–42 | +4.1 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 55FloridaCONF | W 52–35 | +16.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 85Georgia State | W 56–14 | +24.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 24Texas A&MCONF | W 42–30 | +16.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 44WisconsinNEUTRAL | W 35–31 | +7.4 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 58.3% | 2nd | 46.2% | 118th |
| Rushing success rate | 61.0% | 1st | 47.0% | 103rd |
| Passing success rate | 55.9% | 2nd | 45.3% | 121st |
| Explosive run rate | 22.6% | 1st | 16.9% | 106th |
| Explosive pass rate | 19.7% | 1st | 13.6% | 125th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.80 | 1st | 3.37 | 111th |
| Opportunity rate | 50.3% | 2nd | 41.1% | 104th |
| Stuff rate | 11.3% | 9th | 13.2% | 110th |
| Sack rate | 5.3% | 57th | 6.6% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 54.6% | 2nd | 46.7% | 119th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 75.9% | 11th | 72.1% | 119th |
| Havoc rate | 5.9% | 18th | 8.1% | 76th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 45.5 | 1st | 27.9 | 78th |
| Yards / game | 543.5 | 1st | 416.3 | 108th |
| Yards / play | 8.19 | 1st | 5.93 | 104th |
| Pass yards / game | 338.9 | 3rd | 241.4 | 115th |
| Yards / pass att. | 10.72 | 1st | 7.91 | 107th |
| Completion % | 69.6% | 7th | 63.8% | 106th |
| Rush yards / game | 204.5 | 11th | 160.7 | 87th |
| Yards / carry | 6.18 | 1st | 4.52 | 90th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 54.6% | 1st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.62 | 4th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.69 | 45th | 2.38 | 44th |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.7 | 70th | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →