
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Rhode Island FCS | W 42–35 | -16.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 118UConn | W 35–14 | +8.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 125Charlotte | W 41–25 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 64Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 30–17 | +15.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 19TroyCONF | L 7–28 | -14.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 99MarshallCONF | W 41–24 | +9.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 73LouisianaCONF | W 20–17 | +4.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 90Georgia SouthernCONF | L 27–44 | -18.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 22James MadisonCONF | L 14–42 | -20.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 54Appalachian StateCONF | L 14–42 | -25.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 13LSU | L 14–56 | -14.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 94Old DominionCONF | L 24–25 | -3.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 106Utah StateNEUTRAL | W 45–22 | +16.5 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 74th | 41.8% | 61st |
| Rushing success rate | 40.8% | 102nd | 39.8% | 33rd |
| Passing success rate | 43.8% | 43rd | 43.4% | 100th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.1% | 43rd | 14.6% | 69th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 104th | 10.3% | 70th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 102nd | 3.04 | 46th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.3% | 108th | 37.4% | 57th |
| Stuff rate | 17.0% | 76th | 19.2% | 34th |
| Sack rate | 4.0% | 30th | 6.6% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.6% | 19th | 43.0% | 95th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 58.5% | 87th | 54.8% | 30th |
| Havoc rate | 7.7% | 57th | 9.2% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.2 | 68th | 30.1 | 100th |
| Yards / game | 393.3 | 57th | 425.3 | 116th |
| Yards / play | 5.68 | 55th | 6.08 | 115th |
| Pass yards / game | 205.2 | 93rd | 263.9 | 126th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.27 | 72nd | 8.31 | 121st |
| Completion % | 67.8% | 13th | 65.0% | 119th |
| Rush yards / game | 188.1 | 26th | 145.8 | 52nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.77 | 35th | 4.29 | 80th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.5% | 19th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 34th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.54 | 35th | 2.31 | 49th |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.5 | 92nd | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →