The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs South Carolina State FCS | W 24–3 | -2.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 29Maryland | L 20–38 | -9.1 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 85Georgia State | L 25–41 | -22.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 55Florida | L 7–22 | -10.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 18SMUCONF | L 16–34 | -6.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 100NavyCONF | L 0–14 | -22.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 105East CarolinaCONF | W 10–7 | -0.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 27 | vs 97Florida AtlanticCONF | L 16–38 | -29.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 110TulsaCONF | W 33–26 | +1.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 31MemphisCONF | L 38–44 | -3.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 86RiceCONF | L 7–28 | -27.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 96South FloridaCONF | L 14–48 | -30.2 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 34.7% | 131st | 40.8% | 45th |
| Rushing success rate | 37.0% | 127th | 41.6% | 50th |
| Passing success rate | 32.0% | 128th | 39.9% | 53rd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.1% | 77th | 14.0% | 57th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.0% | 125th | 11.0% | 85th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.91 | 112th | 3.01 | 41st |
| Opportunity rate | 36.7% | 86th | 38.3% | 72nd |
| Stuff rate | 21.6% | 129th | 19.4% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 8.2% | 110th | 5.0% | 97th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 26.6% | 133rd | 40.9% | 76th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 48.4% | 125th | 50.0% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 11.7% | 128th | 8.4% | 59th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.5 | 125th | 28.6 | 87th |
| Yards / game | 312.8 | 117th | 374.2 | 61st |
| Yards / play | 4.56 | 123rd | 5.69 | 89th |
| Pass yards / game | 167.8 | 119th | 201.7 | 53rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.14 | 119th | 7.51 | 85th |
| Completion % | 56.7% | 102nd | 62.9% | 102nd |
| Rush yards / game | 145.0 | 82nd | 161.5 | 88th |
| Yards / carry | 3.75 | 102nd | 4.52 | 89th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 23.7% | 133rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 119th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.58 | 102nd | 1.67 | 108th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.0 | 106th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →