American · 2026

Charlotte 49ers

Head coach Tim Albin · Jerry Richardson Stadium
1-71-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#134
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-23.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-9.6
123rd in FBS
Defense
-13.6
137th in FBS
Schedule so far
-4.2
75th toughest
Projected
1.6-10.4
bowl-eligible <1%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-23.2 now, -21.5 preseason · down 3 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#134

Final record odds

1.6-10.4 expected · most likely 1-11 (53%)
53%1-1136%2-1010%3-94-8

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsThe Citadel FCSL 41–43 ›-35.6—ESPN+
2Sep 12@10Ole MissL 9–41 ›-1.2—ESPN2
3Sep 19@104App StateL 21–26 ›-11.4—ESPN+
4Sep 26vs89LouisianaL 7–34 ›-34.6—ESPN+
5Oct 3vs58MemphisCONFL 8–59 ›-33.8—ESPN+
6Oct 10@56North TexasCONFL 10–50 ›-22.1—ESPN+
7Oct 17@102TempleCONFW 38–31 ›+0.5—ESPN+
8—Bye
9Oct 30vs90TulaneCONFL 31–38 ›-17.0—ESPN2
10Nov 7@113UABCONFUAB −13.8 · o/u 55.6—18%ESPN+
11Nov 14vs83East CarolinaCONFEast Carolina −15.0 · o/u 52.8—16%ESPN+
12Nov 21@92TulsaCONFTulsa −20.4 · o/u 56.7—9%
13Nov 28vs84NavyCONFNavy −14.3 · o/u 57.8—17%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.019119th+0.255129th
Success rate38.3%121st49.1%135th
Explosiveness1.24668th1.23166th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.5%120th49.3%134th
Rushing success rate36.9%127th46.2%113th
Passing success rate39.9%89th52.5%137th
Explosive run rate15.4%37th15.8%117th
Explosive pass rate8.3%112th11.9%113th
Line yards / carry2.67130th3.0675th
Opportunity rate34.4%118th40.5%108th
Stuff rate24.1%133rd21.1%28th
Sack rate4.4%49th4.2%106th
3rd-down conversion39.1%90th46.0%121st
Red-zone TD rate64.7%55th71.9%121st
Havoc rate13.2%61st10.6%130th
Box score · season totals
Points / game20.6120th40.3137th
Yards / game328.9118th465.4135th
Yards / play5.26102nd6.46129th
Pass yards / game204.898th278.8133rd
Yards / pass att.6.8098th8.85135th
Completion %64.6%51st72.6%137th
Rush yards / game124.1111th186.6119th
Yards / carry4.1087th4.77111th
3rd-down conv. %33.3%117th47.1%128th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.00135th0.75121st
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0075th1.38112th
Penalty yards / game40.413th53.082nd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
7.3
118th of 138
YAC per catch
5.3
74th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
103rd of 138
Shotgun
99%
12th of 138
No-huddle
38%
88th of 138
QB pressured
15%
40th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
116th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
44th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws226 throws charted

64% comp7.3 avg. depth5.3 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds9–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (8%), 12 caught (67%), 71 yds, 3.9 per throw1867% · 71yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 39 throws (17%), 26 caught (67%), 175 yds, 4.5 per throw3967% · 175yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (7%), 11 caught (69%), 104 yds, 6.5 per throw1669% · 104yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 3 caught (38%), 39 yds, 4.9 per throw838% · 39yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 70 yds, 11.7 per throw667% · 70yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 1 caught (17%), 24 yds, 4.0 per throw617% · 24yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 140 yds, 23.3 per throw667% · 140yMiddle, Behind air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 7 yds, 1.2 per throw667% · 7yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 41 yds, 8.2 per throw5100% · 41yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 47 yds, 6.7 per throw757% · 47yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 163 yds, 23.3 per throw786% · 163yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 16 yds, 5.3 per throw333% · 16yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 89 yds, 22.3 per throw475% · 89yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 43 yds, 14.3 per throw333% · 43yRight, Behind air yards: 23 throws (10%), 22 caught (96%), 176 yds, 7.7 per throw2396% · 176yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (13%), 22 caught (76%), 118 yds, 4.1 per throw2976% · 118yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (8%), 10 caught (53%), 65 yds, 3.4 per throw1953% · 65yRight, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 32 yds, 4.6 per throw729% · 32yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 123 yds, 17.6 per throw786% · 123yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 55 yds, 13.8 per throw450% · 55yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 37 yds, 12.3 per throw333% · 37y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on247 throws charted

73% comp8.1 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds19–3 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 20 throws (8%), 19 caught (95%), 102 yds, 5.1 per throw2095% · 102yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (11%), 17 caught (63%), 122 yds, 4.5 per throw2763% · 122yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (11%), 21 caught (81%), 187 yds, 7.2 per throw2681% · 187yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 8 caught (80%), 128 yds, 12.8 per throw1080% · 128yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 75 yds, 15.0 per throw560% · 75yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 99 yds, 16.5 per throw650% · 99yLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 41 yds, 20.5 per throw250% · 41yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 31 yds, 4.4 per throw786% · 31yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 126 yds, 10.5 per throw1258% · 126yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 73 yds, 14.6 per throw580% · 73yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 158 yds, 14.4 per throw1164% · 158yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 25 yds, 8.3 per throw333% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 127 yds, 25.4 per throw540% · 127yRight, Behind air yards: 16 throws (6%), 13 caught (81%), 65 yds, 4.1 per throw1681% · 65yRight, 0–4 air yards: 33 throws (13%), 28 caught (85%), 174 yds, 5.3 per throw3385% · 174yRight, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (10%), 21 caught (84%), 235 yds, 9.4 per throw2584% · 235yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 107 yds, 8.9 per throw1258% · 107yRight, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 9 caught (90%), 210 yds, 21.0 per throw1090% · 210yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 66 yds, 11.0 per throw633% · 66yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 36 yds, 7.2 per throw520% · 36y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction220 carries

Left
22%
4.7 YPC · 47% succ.
Middle
59%
4.1 YPC · 34% succ.
Right
19%
7.5 YPC · 46% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced290 carries

Left
19%
5.1 YPC · 46% succ.
Middle
61%
4.5 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
20%
7.1 YPC · 59% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tim Albin

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
9Cole GonzalesQBSR6' 0"200Ocala, FL
12Grayson LoftisQBJR6' 3"215Gaffney, SC
15Conner HarrellQBSR6' 2"210Alabaster, AL
16Luke McNultyQBFR6' 2"185Pasadena, CA
5Khamani AlexanderRBSO6' 1"200Homestead, FL
6D'Mariun PerteetRBJR5' 10"215Courtland, MS
21Henry RutledgeRBSR5' 8"185Charlotte, NC
24Jariel CobbRBSO5' 10"185Reidsville, NC
27Malachi DraytonRBFR5' 10"215Fort Mill, SC
41Chris NajmRBFR6' 0"180Pinehurst, NC
0Cam PedroWRSR5' 11"180Suwanee, GA
1Jaden BarnesWRSR5' 8"170Mcdonough, GA
2Jaylen HamptonWRSO6' 2"200Atlanta, GA
4Tank BostonWRSO5' 11"190Anderson, SC
8Zyheem CollickWRSO5' 11"165Snow Hill, MD
11KD Hunter-GibsonWRSR6' 0"190Tupelo, MS
13Caleb TuckerWRFR6' 0"185Bryant, AR
14Adam Hopkins IVWRJR6' 0"180Thomasville, GA
18Seth FranklinWRJR5' 10"170Fayetteville, NC
20Donte NicholsonWRFR5' 11"170Charlotte, NC
38Sean ManuelWRFR6' 2"180Raleigh, NC
80Jeremiah HoffmanWRFR6' 1"175Severance, CO
82Shelden GollidayWRFR6' 3"180Omaha, NE
89Derrick EleyWRSO6' 0"170Huntersville, NC
3Logan MauldinTESR6' 4"230Charlotte, NC
17Gus McGeeTESR6' 5"250Newburyport, MA
19Brody DawyotTEFR6' 5"220Salem, VA
81Brady RhoadsTESO6' 4"230Sun Prairie, WI
83Grant LaskeyTESO6' 5"240Valdosta, GA
85Jason JeffaresTEJR6' 3"230Charlotte, NC
50Rod GreenOLSR6' 5"315Dayton, OH
54Isaac Sikes-RasbyOLFR6' 5"275Kennesaw, GA
55Mathias NielsenOLSR6' 3"305Bagsvaerd, Denmark
56Jake AllenOLFR6' 2"305Jackson, OH
57Luke SandyOLSR6' 2"305Elizabeth, CO
58Mason McgillOLFR6' 4"280Gainesville, GA
61Reginhard Pierre-NauOLJR6' 2"305Jonesboro, GA
63Callum CaryOLFR6' 4"285Olin, NC
64O'Shea StromanOLJR6' 1"290Lithonia, GA
65Nic CrujiOLSR6' 4"305Toronto, Canada
66Omarion DavisOLSR6' 5"305Vero Beach, FL
67Dom SilviaOLSO6' 6"320Bridgewater, MA
68Cody TaylorOLFR6' 3"310Greenwood, AR
71Amar HarperOLJR6' 5"335Magee, MS
73Daniel PhillipsOLFR6' 5"300Chicago, IL
75Kristos FernandezOLSR6' 5"300New Hyde Park, NY
76Isaiah BullerdickOLSR6' 2"300Harrisburg, NC
77Dylan Nolan-CookOLJR6' 5"305Scottsdale, AZ
79Tristen BrownOLFR6' 3"295Concord, NC
2Jaylon JohnsonDLSR6' 4"250Antioch, TN
7DJ BurgessDLSR6' 2"270Oxford, MS
8Calif SpencerDLJR6' 3"250Harrington, DE
9Curtis SimpsonDLSO6' 4"230Shelby, NC
14Kendal BrownDLSO6' 4"235Savannah, GA
15Ayo TifaseDLSR6' 4"285Baltimore, MD
33Colin BusseyDLFR6' 3"250Douglasville, GA
35Jamil DavisDLSO6' 1"280Humble, TX
44Austin HerndonDLFR6' 2"230Cary, NC
51Jamarrion SolomonDLSR6' 0"270Miami, FL
52Kaiden BowerDLFR6' 3"240Carmel, IN
55Shaku SangarieDLJR6' 2"250Jacksonville, FL
77Lewis Price-LawDLFR6' 4"295Fort Mill, SC
85Caleb IrvingDLSO6' 1"290Glenn Heights, TX
90Chris MortonDLFR6' 3"220Wilmington, NC
94Takeo MasseyDLFR6' 3"205Charlotte, NC
95Devin AncrumDLFR6' 1"300Buford, GA
98Ehigie Aliu-OtokitiDLSR6' 1"280Orlando, FL
99Jaylen DossDLFR6' 2"270Petal, MS
19Kadin SchmitzLBSR6' 1"235Ashland, OH
25Gray PattersonLBFR6' 3"215Fort Mill, SC
30Stellan BowmanLBSO6' 0"230Grand Rapids, MI
32Latrell SellersLBFR6' 2"210Hazlehurst, GA
36Parker StartzLBSO6' 3"240Mokena, IL
45Mikey DomanikLBFR6' 0"205Marietta, GA
46Will EstesLBFR6' 1"210Cary, NC
47Leo Housel-RajacichLBFR6' 1"215Winston-Salem, NC
0Collin GillDBJR6' 0"210Fort Washington, MD
1Jameel Croft Jr.DBJR6' 0"210Detroit, MI
4Tradarius SmithDBJR6' 3"190Port Gibson, MS
5Jonathan PattersonDBJR6' 0"195McKinney, TX
6Nireek SharpeDBJR6' 0"175Atlanta, GA
12CJ Clinkscales Jr.DBSR5' 8"175Buford, GA
16Shamar McIntoshDBSO5' 11"190Washington, DC
17Kameron ManleyDBSO5' 9"170Raleigh, NC
20Zayden Laing-TaylorDBSO5' 11"190Miami, FL
22Kaden CatoeDBFR6' 0"170Greensboro, NC
24Josh HinesDBFR6' 2"205Charlotte, NC
26Devon St. ClairDBFR6' 2"190Orlando, FL
27Kevin Beckham Jr.DBSO6' 0"190Mobile, AL
28Cornell AllenDBSO5' 10"190Richmond, VA
29Donald Smith IIIDBJR6' 2"190Baltimore, MD
31Tyson CraigDBFR5' 11"180Lawrenceville, GA
34Alchino BlakelyDBFR5' 10"190Snellville, GA
37Spencer MakuchDBFR6' 0"200Cleveland, TN
84Aiden BuiPKFR5' 9"160Pearland, TX
99Charlie BirtwistlePKSO5' 11"210Belmont, NC
44Ian KellyPFR6' 0"160Bluffton, SC
95Bronson LongPSR6' 4"200Gothenburg, NE
33Henry SearcyLSFR6' 3"185Tallahassee, FL
40Charlie BeckerLSFR6' 2"210Miami, FL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2015

Final rating by season

Best: 2019 (-6.2, #100) · worst: 2015 (-18.1, #127)
-20-100FBS avg20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#135
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far1-71-3#134-23.2-9.6-13.6
20251-110-8#135-17.9-9.7-8.2
20245-74-4#120-10.1-4.1-5.9
20233-92-6#125-12.4-8.6-3.9
20223-92-6#129-15.2-4.6-10.7
20215-73-5#114-10.4-2.3-8.1
20202-42-2#105-7.7-1.8-5.9
20197-65-3#100-6.2-0.5-5.8
20185-74-4#102-8.6-7.4-1.2
20171-111-7#127-17.6-12.2-5.4
20164-83-5#117-12.1-6.7-5.4
20152-100-8#127-18.1-10.8-7.4

Charlotte's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →