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American · 2026

Navy Midshipmen

Head coach Brian Newberry · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
2-61-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#84
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-5.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.3
83rd in FBS
Defense
-2.9
88th in FBS
Schedule so far
-4.2
75th toughest
Projected
4.3-7.7
bowl-eligible 10%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-5.2 now, -7.9 preseason · up 7 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#84

Final record odds

4.3-7.7 expected · most likely 4-8 (39%)
2-1016%3-939%4-834%5-710%6-6

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Jackson Gutierrez
QB · JR · 140th in FBS
717yds
7 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
Jackson Gutierrez
QB · JR · 4th in FBS
982yds
177 car · 13 TD
Receiving
Jordan Collins
TE · SO · 413th in FBS
212yds
6 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Coleman Cauley
LB · SR · 58th in FBS
63tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
MarcAnthony Parker
LB · 75th in FBS
4sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Phillip Hamilton
CB · JR · 145th in FBS
1INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsTowson FCSW 42–15 ›-7.4—CBSSN
2Sep 12@99Florida AtlanticCONFL 30–38 ›-14.0—ESPNU
3—Bye
4Sep 25@113UABCONFL 20–24 ›-13.5—ESPN
5Oct 3@85Air ForceL 9–14 ›-6.6—CBS
6Oct 10vs92TulsaCONFW 34–26 ›-2.3—CBSSN
7Oct 17@70UTSACONFL 34–38 ›+0.2—ESPNU
8Oct 24vs56North TexasCONFL 39–49 ›-10.0—CBSSN
9Oct 31vs1Notre DameNEUTRALL 13–35 ›+4.9—ABC
10Nov 7vs102TempleCONFNavy −8.7 · o/u 54.6—72%CBSSN
11—Bye
12Nov 21vs58MemphisCONFMemphis −4.9 · o/u 59.4—37%
13Nov 28@134CharlotteCONFNavy −14.3 · o/u 57.8—83%
14—Bye
15Dec 12vs76ArmyCONFNEUTRALArmy −3.1 · o/u 58.2—42%CBS

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.19941st+0.207121st
Success rate47.4%26th42.2%80th
Explosiveness1.19695th1.388130th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate47.8%24th43.0%86th
Rushing success rate51.6%9th38.6%36th
Passing success rate33.0%134th48.0%126th
Explosive run rate16.3%30th10.4%30th
Explosive pass rate13.3%26th15.8%136th
Line yards / carry3.616th2.7835th
Opportunity rate44.2%12th33.1%22nd
Stuff rate11.6%6th19.1%50th
Sack rate7.2%107th6.3%55th
3rd-down conversion42.0%56th44.8%119th
Red-zone TD rate65.2%50th65.0%95th
Havoc rate9.6%9th12.4%101st
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.674th29.9112th
Yards / game404.452nd372.883rd
Yards / play6.1040th5.92115th
Pass yards / game108.6135th251.6121st
Yards / pass att.9.1013th9.41136th
Completion %47.9%137th68.7%134th
Rush yards / game295.83rd121.135th
Yards / carry5.607th3.5232nd
3rd-down conv. %41.9%49th43.9%120th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.2565th0.50137th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1219th1.8882nd
Penalty yards / game45.124th41.3126th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
14.1
2nd of 138
YAC per catch
8.2
1st of 138
Deep shots (20+)
26%
2nd of 138
Shotgun
58%
136th of 138
No-huddle
18%
116th of 138
QB pressured
18%
19th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
83rd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.0
84th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws90 throws charted

49% comp14.1 avg. depth8.2 YAC/catch26% 20+ air yds7–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 3 throws (3%), 3 caught (100%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw3100% · 15yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (6%), 3 caught (60%), 20 yds, 4.0 per throw560% · 20yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 9 yds, 9.0 per throw1100% · 9yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (9%), 3 caught (38%), 84 yds, 10.5 per throw838% · 84yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 1 caught (33%), 92 yds, 30.7 per throw333% · 92yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (3%), 1 caught (33%), 39 yds, 13.0 per throw333% · 39yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per throw1100% · 3yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 5 throws (6%), 3 caught (60%), 9 yds, 1.8 per throw560% · 9yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 6 throws (7%), 2 caught (33%), 53 yds, 8.8 per throw633% · 53yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 14 yds, 14.0 per throw1100% · 14yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (3%), 2 caught (67%), 52 yds, 17.3 per throw367% · 52yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (4%), 1 caught (25%), 68 yds, 17.0 per throw425% · 68yRight, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 3 yds, 3.0 per throw1100% · 3yRight, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (8%), 5 caught (71%), 58 yds, 8.3 per throw771% · 58yRight, 5–9 air yards: 9 throws (10%), 8 caught (89%), 70 yds, 7.8 per throw989% · 70yRight, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (12%), 3 caught (27%), 50 yds, 4.5 per throw1127% · 50yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (6%), 2 caught (40%), 38 yds, 7.6 per throw540% · 38yRight, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (4%), 1 caught (25%), 23 yds, 5.8 per throw425% · 23yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (7%), 2 caught (33%), 97 yds, 16.2 per throw633% · 97y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on202 throws charted

69% comp10.1 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch18% 20+ air yds19–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (8%), 12 caught (71%), 76 yds, 4.5 per throw1771% · 76yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 14 throws (7%), 10 caught (71%), 79 yds, 5.6 per throw1471% · 79yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 14 caught (78%), 116 yds, 6.4 per throw1878% · 116yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 7 caught (88%), 130 yds, 16.3 per throw888% · 130yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw540% · 32yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 53 yds, 10.6 per throw540% · 53yLeft, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 156 yds, 26.0 per throw667% · 156yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 14 yds, 3.5 per throw475% · 14yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 36 yds, 4.0 per throw967% · 36yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 7 caught (47%), 87 yds, 5.8 per throw1547% · 87yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (6%), 11 caught (92%), 167 yds, 13.9 per throw1292% · 167yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 72 yds, 9.0 per throw850% · 72yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 114 yds, 22.8 per throw580% · 114yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 167 yds, 41.8 per throw475% · 167yRight, Behind air yards: 12 throws (6%), 12 caught (100%), 62 yds, 5.2 per throw12100% · 62yRight, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (7%), 13 caught (87%), 62 yds, 4.1 per throw1587% · 62yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 15 caught (83%), 154 yds, 8.6 per throw1883% · 154yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 4 caught (50%), 60 yds, 7.5 per throw850% · 60yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 25 yds, 5.0 per throw520% · 25yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 66 yds, 11.0 per throw650% · 66yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (4%), 6 caught (75%), 266 yds, 33.3 per throw875% · 266y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction398 carries

Left
21%
7.2 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
50%
5.3 YPC · 50% succ.
Right
29%
5.9 YPC · 53% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced252 carries

Left
15%
4.5 YPC · 38% succ.
Middle
69%
4.5 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
16%
4.5 YPC · 30% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Brian Newberry

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Brady CarmicalQBFR6' 2"215Ashburn, VA
3Maverick ChanceQBFR6' 0"215Brentwood, TN
8Jackson GutierrezQBJR6' 0"207San Antonio, TX
10Ryan BrassQBSO6' 0"210Cincinnati, OH
15Evan BlouirQBFR6' 0"205Lusby, MD
16Michael DoveQBSO6' 0"206Winter Garden, FL
24Braeden GeorgeRBSO5' 11"204Baton Rouge, LA
35Quinton EzzardRBJR6' 1"210Smyrna, GA
41Stefan EgbeRBSR6' 0"218Ellicott City, MD
42Christian CromerRBSO5' 11"250Brooksville, FL
45Chris Daley IIRBFR5' 10"215Denver, NC
0Noah BullWRSR6' 0"210Baltimore, MD
4JP DonovanWRFR6' 0"205Jacksonville, FL
6Bash BodilyWRFR6' 5"205Park City, UT
9Cayden AlulaWRFR6' 0"197Jupiter, FL
13Akeem ClarkWRSO6' 2"200District Heights, MD
14Maddax FayardWRSO5' 10"187Destin, FL
17Gus AndersonWRFR5' 11"190Newnan, GA
18Andersen CardozaWRJR5' 10"203Fayetteville, GA
20Prosper AkannaWRJR5' 11"195Sachse, TX
22Jeremiah ChalmersWRSO5' 11"187Fort Lauderdale, FL
25Isaiah BryantWRSR5' 9"165Mount Dora, FL
26Michael BarrowWRJR5' 7"190Grand Prairie, TX
28Tyler BreedloveWRFR6' 1"173Loganville, GA
32James Cusick IIWRFR6' 0"187Union, KY
36Andre Gilbert Jr.WRJR5' 7"160Tampa, FL
37Ihsaan AlozieWRFR5' 9"183Clifton Park, NY
80Arnel HeathingtonWRSR6' 1"193Waldorf, MD
83Truman BrasfieldWRFR6' 1"197Corvallis, OR
83Landon DolhancykWRSO6' 4"183Peachtree City, GA
86Joshua GuerinWRSR6' 1"180Fort Lauderdale, FL
82Drew HallTEJR6' 4"230Pembroke, MA
84Jordan CollinsTESO6' 3"236Rock Hill, SC
87Theo ElwellTEJR6' 5"241Peachtree City, GA
88Merrick BarlowTESO6' 6"239Newburyport, MA
50Joe AlnwickOTFR6' 4"280Copake, NY
58Peter BonnetOTFR6' 5"295Pittsburgh, PA
61Drew FontanaOTJR6' 4"273Pittsburgh, PA
65Connor HeaterOTJR6' 3"275Brookfield, OH
69Alex BrewerOTFR6' 4"315Canton, GA
73Sean CrowleyOTJR6' 4"293Glen Arm, MD
74James CardinaliOTSO6' 6"286Gibsonia, PA
75Hansen CollieOTJR6' 5"279San Marcos, TX
54Hunter FayCSO6' 3"265Brock, TX
59Gavin DaubyCFR6' 3"285Wildwood, MO
68Todd HammondDLFR6' 2"280Franklin, TN
94Xavyer ArringtonDLJR6' 0"279Vero Beach, FL
99Chris HerockDLJR6' 1"266Cumming, GA
72Elysha CampbellDEFR6' 3"220Tallahassee, FL
73Rhoen BreenDESO6' 5"271Cary, NC
75Romane GrantDEFR6' 2"260Biloxi, MS
78Jaden BrockDESO6' 4"260Suwanee, GA
79Bryan HallDEFR6' 4"278Wellington, FL
74Gabriel GeorgeDTFR6' 5"260Brookfield, CT
79Clinton AnyagafuDTSO6' 1"255Missouri City, TX
0Mackenzie ArdoinLBSO6' 4"230Opelousas, LA
1Seth EnglishLBSR6' 3"199Gainesville, FL
14Trent GillisLBSO6' 1"200Glen Burnie, MD
32Justin ColesLBJR6' 2"196Sunrise, FL
33Allen AndersonLBFR6' 1"230Annapolis, MD
34Maddox HaylesLBFR6' 0"212Destin, FL
37Jaden HolderLBFR6' 2"210Snellville, GA
39Job GrantLBSR6' 2"223Kansas City, MO
40Mac Barrow IILBFR5' 11"213Houston, TX
41James DeyoLBFR6' 2"225Lynchburg, VA
44Terrez BootheLBFR6' 1"200Aberdeen, MD
46Noah BeckLBJR6' 1"233Cleves, OH
47Harry Beacham IIILBJR6' 0"220Baton Rouge, LA
49Amahd ClarkLBSO6' 3"219District Heights, MD
51Jacob AsbeckLBJR6' 1"215West Chester, OH
53Marcus BleazardLBSR6' 0"224Kennesaw, GA
54Teddy AndrousLBJR6' 0"220Annapolis, MD
57Mason FreyLBSO6' 2"243Southport, CT
58Coleman CauleyLBSR6' 1"227Macon, GA
59Cody FairLBSO6' 2"230Massillon, OH
80Ian HallLBFR6' 2"210Alexandria, VA
81Anthony GiorgiLBFR6' 4"220Washington, PA
83Nash BeenenLBSO6' 2"202Atlantic Beach, FL
6Phillip HamiltonCBJR5' 10"175Fort Worth, TX
10Nick BellCBJR5' 10"182Centerton, AR
20Caiden AnkuCBFR6' 0"200Antioch, TN
26Garrison EdwardsCBFR5' 9"190Pine Mountain, GA
28Bryce AllenCBSR5' 11"181Alpharetta, GA
7Kush'i AbrahamSSR5' 9"186Cincinnati, OH
11Jonah CaliSSO5' 9"190Montverde, FL
17Trent GraySSO6' 2"186Austin, TX
24Carson de AvilaSSR6' 0"190Newport Beach, CA
15Nolan BartleyPKFR6' 0"172Austin, TX
96Archie EshPKFR5' 10"180Lenexa, KS
99Lance GossettPKSR6' 1"200Louisville, KY
11Jacob CarlsonPJR5' 10"190Plano, TX
90Jack ArmbrusterPSO6' 2"180New Orleans, LA
91Eli CronicLSSO5' 11"183Arnold, MD
92Rayne FryLSSR6' 2"196Lawrenceville, GA
94Jaxon EndresLSSO6' 2"215Brentwood, TN
52Jackson DeLoachGFR6' 3"273Suwanee, GA
53Jack HeathGFR6' 5"285Lone Tree, CO
57John HebertGSO6' 2"275Baton Rouge, LA
66Will HamptonGSO6' 5"298Petal, MS
71Isaac BunkerGSR6' 3"298Monroe, WI

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+8.7, #23) · worst: 2023 (-5.7, #100)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#49
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far2-61-4#84-5.2-2.3-2.9
202511-27-1#49+3.5+2.3+1.3
202410-36-2#36+5.1+2.1+3.1
20235-74-4#100-5.7-9.1+3.4
20224-84-4#76-2.5-4.8+2.3
20214-83-5#90-3.9-4.9+1.1
20203-73-4#97-5.6-6.7+1.0
201911-27-1#23+8.5+5.0+3.5
20183-102-6#96-5.6-2.7-2.9
20177-64-4#42+4.3+2.2+2.1
20169-57-1#46+4.0+5.8-1.7
201511-27-1#23+8.7+4.9+3.8
20148-5—#55+1.6+2.0-0.4

Navy's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →