American · 2026

Navy Midshipmen

Head coach Brian Newberry · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
1-10-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#74
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-1.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.6
51st in FBS
Defense
-2.8
103rd in FBS
Schedule so far
-14.6
135th toughest
Projected
5.9-6.1
bowl-eligible 58%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-1.3 now, +1.9 preseason · down 26 spots since preseason
0FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#74

Final record odds

5.9-6.1 expected · most likely 6-6 (21%)
2-107%3-913%4-819%5-721%6-618%7-512%8-46%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsTowson FCSW 42–15-2.2—CBSSN
2Sep 12@106Florida AtlanticCONFL 30–38-10.0—ESPNU
3—Bye
4Sep 25@120UABCONFNavy −4.1 · o/u 55.1—60%ESPN
5Oct 3@90Air ForceAir Force −1.5 · o/u 57.4—46%CBS
6Oct 10vs67TulsaCONFNavy −1.4 · o/u 48.4—54%CBSSN
7Oct 17@69UTSACONFUTSA −4.5 · o/u 56.6—39%
8Oct 24vs47North TexasCONFNorth Texas −1.2 · o/u 65.3—47%CBSSN
9Oct 31vs1Notre DameNEUTRALNotre Dame −17.6 · o/u 52.8—13%
10Nov 7vs87TempleCONFNavy −4.4 · o/u 61.3—61%CBSSN
11—Bye
12Nov 21vs64MemphisCONFNavy −1.0 · o/u 60.9—53%
13Nov 28@135CharlotteCONFNavy −8.8 · o/u 58.1—72%
14—Bye
15Dec 12vs61ArmyCONFNEUTRALArmy −2.4 · o/u 50.4—44%CBS

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.32524th+0.195116th
Success rate53.0%8th39.6%69th
Explosiveness1.24772nd1.470130th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate52.3%17th42.2%93rd
Rushing success rate60.5%4th30.6%21st
Passing success rate24.0%137th52.8%132nd
Explosive run rate19.8%19th4.1%5th
Explosive pass rate4.3%133rd20.8%138th
Line yards / carry3.955th2.6031st
Opportunity rate51.2%6th32.7%43rd
Stuff rate9.3%7th22.4%39th
Sack rate8.0%118th9.4%14th
3rd-down conversion40.0%86th47.4%116th
Red-zone TD rate100.0%1st50.0%37th
Havoc rate12.6%65th12.7%97th
Box score · season totals
Points / game36.049th26.5102nd
Yards / game460.038th337.070th
Yards / play6.5738th5.52101st
Pass yards / game84.0136th296.5132nd
Yards / pass att.5.80125th11.40138th
Completion %41.4%138th78.8%137th
Rush yards / game376.02nd40.52nd
Yards / carry6.906th1.272nd
3rd-down conv. %43.5%61st45.5%117th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0048th0.00137th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0033rd3.0018th
Penalty yards / game62.596th42.5109th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Brian Newberry

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Brady CarmicalQBFR6' 2"215Ashburn, VA
3Maverick ChanceQBFR6' 0"215Brentwood, TN
8Jackson GutierrezQBJR6' 0"207San Antonio, TX
10Ryan BrassQBSO6' 0"210Cincinnati, OH
15Evan BlouirQBFR6' 0"205Lusby, MD
16Michael DoveQBSO6' 0"206Winter Garden, FL
24Braeden GeorgeRBSO5' 11"204Baton Rouge, LA
35Quinton EzzardRBJR6' 1"210Smyrna, GA
41Stefan EgbeRBSR6' 0"218Ellicott City, MD
42Christian CromerRBSO5' 11"250Brooksville, FL
45Chris Daley IIRBFR5' 10"215Denver, NC
0Noah BullWRSR6' 0"210Baltimore, MD
4JP DonovanWRFR6' 0"205Jacksonville, FL
6Bash BodilyWRFR6' 5"205Park City, UT
9Cayden AlulaWRFR6' 0"197Jupiter, FL
13Akeem ClarkWRSO6' 2"200District Heights, MD
14Maddax FayardWRSO5' 10"187Destin, FL
17Gus AndersonWRFR5' 11"190Newnan, GA
18Andersen CardozaWRJR5' 10"203Fayetteville, GA
20Prosper AkannaWRJR5' 11"195Sachse, TX
22Jeremiah ChalmersWRSO5' 11"187Fort Lauderdale, FL
25Isaiah BryantWRSR5' 9"165Mount Dora, FL
26Michael BarrowWRJR5' 7"190Grand Prairie, TX
28Tyler BreedloveWRFR6' 1"173Loganville, GA
32James Cusick IIWRFR6' 0"187Union, KY
36Andre Gilbert Jr.WRJR5' 7"160Tampa, FL
37Ihsaan AlozieWRFR5' 9"183Clifton Park, NY
80Arnel HeathingtonWRSR6' 1"193Waldorf, MD
83Truman BrasfieldWRFR6' 1"197Corvallis, OR
83Landon DolhancykWRSO6' 4"183Peachtree City, GA
86Joshua GuerinWRSR6' 1"180Fort Lauderdale, FL
82Drew HallTEJR6' 4"230Pembroke, MA
84Jordan CollinsTESO6' 3"236Rock Hill, SC
87Theo ElwellTEJR6' 5"241Peachtree City, GA
88Merrick BarlowTESO6' 6"239Newburyport, MA
50Joe AlnwickOTFR6' 4"280Copake, NY
58Peter BonnetOTFR6' 5"295Pittsburgh, PA
61Drew FontanaOTJR6' 4"273Pittsburgh, PA
65Connor HeaterOTJR6' 3"275Brookfield, OH
69Alex BrewerOTFR6' 4"315Canton, GA
73Sean CrowleyOTJR6' 4"293Glen Arm, MD
74James CardinaliOTSO6' 6"286Gibsonia, PA
75Hansen CollieOTJR6' 5"279San Marcos, TX
54Hunter FayCSO6' 3"265Brock, TX
59Gavin DaubyCFR6' 3"285Wildwood, MO
68Todd HammondDLFR6' 2"280Franklin, TN
94Xavyer ArringtonDLJR6' 0"279Vero Beach, FL
99Chris HerockDLJR6' 1"266Cumming, GA
72Elysha CampbellDEFR6' 3"220Tallahassee, FL
73Rhoen BreenDESO6' 5"271Cary, NC
75Romane GrantDEFR6' 2"260Biloxi, MS
78Jaden BrockDESO6' 4"260Suwanee, GA
79Bryan HallDEFR6' 4"278Wellington, FL
74Gabriel GeorgeDTFR6' 5"260Brookfield, CT
79Clinton AnyagafuDTSO6' 1"255Missouri City, TX
0Mackenzie ArdoinLBSO6' 4"230Opelousas, LA
1Seth EnglishLBSR6' 3"199Gainesville, FL
14Trent GillisLBSO6' 1"200Glen Burnie, MD
32Justin ColesLBJR6' 2"196Sunrise, FL
33Allen AndersonLBFR6' 1"230Annapolis, MD
34Maddox HaylesLBFR6' 0"212Destin, FL
37Jaden HolderLBFR6' 2"210Snellville, GA
39Job GrantLBSR6' 2"223Kansas City, MO
40Mac Barrow IILBFR5' 11"213Houston, TX
41James DeyoLBFR6' 2"225Lynchburg, VA
44Terrez BootheLBFR6' 1"200Aberdeen, MD
46Noah BeckLBJR6' 1"233Cleves, OH
47Harry Beacham IIILBJR6' 0"220Baton Rouge, LA
49Amahd ClarkLBSO6' 3"219District Heights, MD
51Jacob AsbeckLBJR6' 1"215West Chester, OH
53Marcus BleazardLBSR6' 0"224Kennesaw, GA
54Teddy AndrousLBJR6' 0"220Annapolis, MD
57Mason FreyLBSO6' 2"243Southport, CT
58Coleman CauleyLBSR6' 1"227Macon, GA
59Cody FairLBSO6' 2"230Massillon, OH
80Ian HallLBFR6' 2"210Alexandria, VA
81Anthony GiorgiLBFR6' 4"220Washington, PA
83Nash BeenenLBSO6' 2"202Atlantic Beach, FL
6Phillip HamiltonCBJR5' 10"175Fort Worth, TX
10Nick BellCBJR5' 10"182Centerton, AR
20Caiden AnkuCBFR6' 0"200Antioch, TN
26Garrison EdwardsCBFR5' 9"190Pine Mountain, GA
28Bryce AllenCBSR5' 11"181Alpharetta, GA
7Kush'i AbrahamSSR5' 9"186Cincinnati, OH
11Jonah CaliSSO5' 9"190Montverde, FL
17Trent GraySSO6' 2"186Austin, TX
24Carson de AvilaSSR6' 0"190Newport Beach, CA
15Nolan BartleyPKFR6' 0"172Austin, TX
96Archie EshPKFR5' 10"180Lenexa, KS
99Lance GossettPKSR6' 1"200Louisville, KY
11Jacob CarlsonPJR5' 10"190Plano, TX
90Jack ArmbrusterPSO6' 2"180New Orleans, LA
91Eli CronicLSSO5' 11"183Arnold, MD
92Rayne FryLSSR6' 2"196Lawrenceville, GA
94Jaxon EndresLSSO6' 2"215Brentwood, TN
52Jackson DeLoachGFR6' 3"273Suwanee, GA
53Jack HeathGFR6' 5"285Lone Tree, CO
57John HebertGSO6' 2"275Baton Rouge, LA
66Will HamptonGSO6' 5"298Petal, MS
71Isaac BunkerGSR6' 3"298Monroe, WI

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →