The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 46James Madison | L 7–30 | -21.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 71North Carolina | L 20–38 | -15.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 27–26 | -23.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 8Indiana | L 14–52 | -12.5 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 104RiceCONF | W 21–20 | -2.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 79East CarolinaCONF | W 55–24 | +21.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 36NavyCONF | L 17–51 | -19.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 41MemphisCONF | L 28–33 | +2.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Oct 31 | vs 32TulaneCONF | L 3–34 | -22.6 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 80South FloridaCONF | L 24–59 | -33.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 117Florida AtlanticCONF | W 39–27 | +5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 115UABCONF | W 29–27 | -9.8 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.5% | 120th | 45.8% | 109th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.1% | 105th | 48.2% | 109th |
| Passing success rate | 35.2% | 117th | 42.7% | 91st |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 61st | 18.2% | 125th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.1% | 6th | 13.7% | 128th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.89 | 109th | 3.36 | 110th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.0% | 100th | 44.1% | 123rd |
| Stuff rate | 19.2% | 102nd | 13.8% | 112th |
| Sack rate | 7.6% | 113th | 3.2% | 127th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.1% | 119th | 43.9% | 100th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.9% | 113th | 53.3% | 27th |
| Havoc rate | 11.0% | 121st | 6.8% | 108th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.7 | 102nd | 35.1 | 121st |
| Yards / game | 341.2 | 105th | 433.2 | 117th |
| Yards / play | 5.26 | 90th | 6.16 | 113th |
| Pass yards / game | 224.1 | 73rd | 209.6 | 76th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.62 | 49th | 7.80 | 102nd |
| Completion % | 50.1% | 131st | 60.1% | 59th |
| Rush yards / game | 117.1 | 107th | 210.3 | 123rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.60 | 108th | 5.23 | 120th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.3% | 129th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 112th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 114th | 1.50 | 112th |
| Penalty yards / game | 65.3 | 116th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →