The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs North Alabama FCS | W 40–0 | +5.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 95Troy | W 38–17 | +13.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 96Florida State | W 20–12 | +5.7 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 36NavyCONF | L 44–56 | -4.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 130Middle Tennessee | W 24–7 | -2.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 80South FloridaCONF | W 21–3 | +18.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 89North TexasCONF | W 52–44 | +1.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 120CharlotteCONF | W 33–28 | -7.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 72UTSACONF | L 36–44 | -5.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 104RiceCONF | W 27–20 | -2.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 115UABCONF | W 53–18 | +16.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 32TulaneCONF | W 34–24 | +19.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 17 | vs 76West VirginiaNEUTRAL | W 42–37 | +4.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.9% | 56th | 40.2% | 47th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.7% | 42nd | 40.5% | 39th |
| Passing success rate | 41.5% | 58th | 40.0% | 68th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.6% | 11th | 12.5% | 34th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.2% | 46th | 12.2% | 112th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.34 | 34th | 2.82 | 23rd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.1% | 47th | 35.0% | 34th |
| Stuff rate | 15.6% | 49th | 21.2% | 17th |
| Sack rate | 3.7% | 28th | 4.9% | 83rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.8% | 20th | 41.1% | 83rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.2% | 24th | 73.0% | 119th |
| Havoc rate | 6.4% | 22nd | 9.4% | 38th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.7 | 17th | 24.1 | 54th |
| Yards / game | 444.5 | 16th | 369.3 | 66th |
| Yards / play | 6.11 | 32nd | 5.65 | 87th |
| Pass yards / game | 270.5 | 20th | 243.9 | 120th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.34 | 63rd | 7.33 | 79th |
| Completion % | 64.7% | 32nd | 60.2% | 63rd |
| Rush yards / game | 174.1 | 46th | 111.8 | 15th |
| Yards / carry | 5.05 | 26th | 3.96 | 52nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.8% | 18th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.62 | 2nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 36th | 1.92 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.0 | 47th | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →