The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS | W 42–7 | +4.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 12Washington | L 10–43 | -11.5 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 9Oklahoma | L 17–66 | -21.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 98Northern Illinois | W 22–14 | +5.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 129TempleCONF | W 48–26 | +5.6 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 97Florida AtlanticCONF | L 17–20 | -5.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 86RiceCONF | L 10–42 | -33.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 18SMUCONF | L 10–69 | -24.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 125CharlotteCONF | L 26–33 | -22.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 45TulaneCONF | L 22–24 | +3.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 104North TexasCONF | L 28–35 | -15.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 105East CarolinaCONF | W 29–27 | -1.3 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.4% | 82nd | 44.3% | 94th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.0% | 100th | 43.5% | 63rd |
| Passing success rate | 42.0% | 58th | 45.1% | 119th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.3% | 115th | 15.2% | 77th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.2% | 32nd | 13.3% | 121st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.16 | 68th | 3.21 | 84th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 93rd | 39.2% | 84th |
| Stuff rate | 13.3% | 24th | 16.1% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 6.4% | 81st | 4.7% | 105th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.1% | 13th | 41.7% | 78th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.5% | 80th | 63.2% | 79th |
| Havoc rate | 8.2% | 68th | 5.8% | 120th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.4 | 96th | 33.8 | 120th |
| Yards / game | 385.8 | 67th | 444.7 | 128th |
| Yards / play | 5.22 | 85th | 6.41 | 126th |
| Pass yards / game | 204.7 | 94th | 269.7 | 131st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.35 | 66th | 8.65 | 127th |
| Completion % | 56.9% | 101st | 64.4% | 111th |
| Rush yards / game | 181.1 | 36th | 164.8 | 95th |
| Yards / carry | 4.12 | 83rd | 4.68 | 100th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.6% | 23rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.00 | 127th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 77th | 1.75 | 103rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.3 | 31st | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →