The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 46South Alabama | W 37–17 | +20.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 15Ole Miss | L 20–37 | -8.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 114Southern Miss | W 21–3 | +11.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs Nicholls FCS | W 36–7 | +2.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 107UABCONF | W 35–23 | +2.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 31MemphisCONF | W 31–21 | +17.7 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 104North TexasCONF | W 35–28 | -1.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 86RiceCONF | W 30–28 | +0.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 105East CarolinaCONF | W 13–10 | -0.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 110TulsaCONF | W 24–22 | -8.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 97Florida AtlanticCONF | W 24–8 | +13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 42UTSACONF | W 29–16 | +14.4 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 18SMU | L 14–26 | -5.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 47Virginia TechNEUTRAL | L 20–41 | -17.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.0% | 54th | 41.4% | 52nd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.6% | 104th | 40.9% | 41st |
| Passing success rate | 48.2% | 14th | 41.8% | 79th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.0% | 79th | 15.2% | 77th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.4% | 11th | 8.2% | 17th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.15 | 70th | 3.09 | 58th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.5% | 121st | 37.0% | 53rd |
| Stuff rate | 13.5% | 30th | 16.2% | 68th |
| Sack rate | 6.8% | 90th | 6.3% | 55th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.7% | 74th | 38.1% | 47th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 52.7% | 115th | 58.5% | 50th |
| Havoc rate | 7.4% | 47th | 8.5% | 55th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.3 | 73rd | 20.6 | 24th |
| Yards / game | 370.1 | 76th | 342.6 | 38th |
| Yards / play | 5.61 | 62nd | 5.04 | 38th |
| Pass yards / game | 215.0 | 79th | 211.1 | 66th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.18 | 31st | 6.76 | 37th |
| Completion % | 62.2% | 57th | 65.3% | 123rd |
| Rush yards / game | 155.1 | 69th | 114.1 | 22nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.12 | 84th | 3.60 | 28th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.2% | 73rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.43 | 73rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 63rd | 2.50 | 35th |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.9 | 28th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →