
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 45Tulane | L 17–37 | -14.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs SE Louisiana FCS | W 35–17 | -5.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 43Oklahoma State | W 33–7 | +30.6 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 123Central Michigan | L 30–34 | -17.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 22James MadisonCONF | L 23–31 | +2.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 127UL MonroeCONF | W 55–7 | +22.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | vs 114Southern MissCONF | W 55–3 | +22.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 73LouisianaCONF | L 20–33 | -16.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 19TroyCONF | L 10–28 | -6.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 88Arkansas StateCONF | W 21–14 | +0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 99MarshallCONF | W 28–0 | +17.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 72Texas StateCONF | L 44–52 | -6.9 | — | NFL Net |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 124Eastern Michigan | W 59–10 | +18.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.5% | 57th | 36.5% | 12th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.0% | 76th | 34.5% | 5th |
| Passing success rate | 44.0% | 41st | 38.8% | 37th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.5% | 26th | 9.9% | 10th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.8% | 62nd | 10.6% | 74th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.45 | 13th | 2.74 | 14th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.7% | 32nd | 30.7% | 5th |
| Stuff rate | 11.0% | 6th | 18.0% | 48th |
| Sack rate | 4.7% | 42nd | 6.1% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.9% | 29th | 37.0% | 37th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 79.1% | 2nd | 52.2% | 19th |
| Havoc rate | 5.5% | 11th | 8.2% | 70th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 33.0 | 27th | 21.0 | 29th |
| Yards / game | 440.5 | 24th | 313.2 | 15th |
| Yards / play | 6.17 | 28th | 4.85 | 23rd |
| Pass yards / game | 268.1 | 33rd | 187.6 | 29th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.14 | 34th | 7.33 | 78th |
| Completion % | 68.0% | 12th | 58.8% | 40th |
| Rush yards / game | 172.3 | 49th | 113.7 | 20th |
| Yards / carry | 4.78 | 34th | 3.22 | 13th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.1% | 36th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.38 | 93rd | 2.08 | 72nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 57.7 | 95th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →