The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 102Baylor | W 42–31 | +7.8 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 42UTSA | L 13–20 | -0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Jackson State FCS | W 77–34 | +7.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 132Nevada | W 35–24 | -7.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 114Southern MissCONF | W 50–36 | +7.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 73LouisianaCONF | L 30–34 | -2.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 127UL MonroeCONF | W 21–20 | -14.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 19TroyCONF | L 13–31 | -11.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 90Georgia SouthernCONF | W 45–24 | +14.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 64Coastal CarolinaCONF | L 23–31 | -5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 88Arkansas StateCONF | L 31–77 | -33.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 46South AlabamaCONF | W 52–44 | +8.8 | — | NFL Net |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 86RiceNEUTRAL | W 45–21 | +20.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.3% | 20th | 40.7% | 42nd |
| Rushing success rate | 47.0% | 35th | 40.3% | 35th |
| Passing success rate | 47.5% | 17th | 41.1% | 69th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.8% | 47th | 17.9% | 121st |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.4% | 29th | 10.8% | 78th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 58th | 3.00 | 39th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.8% | 60th | 36.8% | 51st |
| Stuff rate | 15.6% | 61st | 19.4% | 29th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 72nd | 6.4% | 53rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.5% | 22nd | 48.5% | 126th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.6% | 31st | 66.0% | 97th |
| Havoc rate | 7.1% | 38th | 7.9% | 81st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.7 | 12th | 32.9 | 114th |
| Yards / game | 458.5 | 14th | 397.6 | 94th |
| Yards / play | 6.03 | 40th | 5.46 | 67th |
| Pass yards / game | 270.9 | 29th | 223.0 | 88th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.21 | 29th | 7.68 | 95th |
| Completion % | 66.9% | 16th | 65.0% | 118th |
| Rush yards / game | 187.6 | 27th | 151.3 | 70th |
| Yards / carry | 4.61 | 41st | 4.02 | 57th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.0% | 29th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 115th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 89th | 3.08 | 10th |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.2 | 128th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →