
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Alcorn State FCS | W 40–14 | +1.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 10Florida State | L 13–66 | -18.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 45Tulane | L 3–21 | -17.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 88Arkansas StateCONF | L 37–44 | -8.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 72Texas StateCONF | L 36–50 | -18.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 94Old DominionCONF | L 13–17 | -11.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | @ 46South AlabamaCONF | L 3–55 | -27.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 54Appalachian StateCONF | L 38–48 | -4.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 127UL MonroeCONF | W 24–7 | +1.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 73LouisianaCONF | W 34–31 | +4.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 77Mississippi State | L 20–41 | -20.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 19TroyCONF | L 17–35 | -11.8 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.8% | 121st | 42.1% | 64th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.6% | 104th | 40.9% | 41st |
| Passing success rate | 32.6% | 126th | 43.5% | 101st |
| Explosive run rate | 16.3% | 39th | 15.1% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 108th | 13.9% | 126th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.97 | 101st | 3.25 | 93rd |
| Opportunity rate | 35.9% | 99th | 35.7% | 35th |
| Stuff rate | 19.4% | 111th | 15.4% | 81st |
| Sack rate | 7.6% | 108th | 6.9% | 41st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.1% | 68th | 39.4% | 57th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 47.2% | 126th | 73.2% | 122nd |
| Havoc rate | 9.3% | 102nd | 6.6% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.2 | 99th | 35.8 | 126th |
| Yards / game | 354.1 | 89th | 420.8 | 112th |
| Yards / play | 4.82 | 113th | 6.52 | 130th |
| Pass yards / game | 190.7 | 103rd | 230.5 | 99th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.30 | 112th | 8.94 | 133rd |
| Completion % | 51.8% | 128th | 58.1% | 30th |
| Rush yards / game | 163.4 | 59th | 178.8 | 114th |
| Yards / carry | 4.04 | 89th | 5.06 | 120th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.3% | 70th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.33 | 58th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.83 | 109th | 2.08 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.2 | 54th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →