The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 89Army | W 17–13 | -2.6 | — | NFL Net |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Lamar FCS | W 24–14 | -13.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 24Texas A&M | L 3–47 | -21.2 | — | SECN+ |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 54Appalachian StateCONF | L 40–41 | -1.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 46South AlabamaCONF | L 7–55 | -31.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 72Texas StateCONF | L 20–21 | +0.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 90Georgia SouthernCONF | L 28–38 | -11.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 88Arkansas StateCONF | L 24–34 | -16.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 114Southern MissCONF | L 7–24 | -23.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 19TroyCONF | L 14–45 | -20.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 15Ole Miss | L 3–35 | -13.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 73LouisianaCONF | L 21–52 | -25.3 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.8% | 128th | 46.0% | 114th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.3% | 96th | 44.6% | 78th |
| Passing success rate | 30.6% | 132nd | 47.5% | 129th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.5% | 85th | 14.4% | 63rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.1% | 78th | 10.7% | 77th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.30 | 46th | 3.17 | 73rd |
| Opportunity rate | 41.9% | 31st | 40.0% | 94th |
| Stuff rate | 12.9% | 17th | 18.5% | 39th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 101st | 5.6% | 74th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.5% | 124th | 51.9% | 133rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 44.8% | 129th | 59.2% | 60th |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 70th | 9.1% | 47th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.3 | 128th | 34.8 | 124th |
| Yards / game | 321.1 | 112th | 446.8 | 129th |
| Yards / play | 4.85 | 111th | 5.89 | 99th |
| Pass yards / game | 174.8 | 114th | 261.6 | 125th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.08 | 123rd | 8.31 | 120th |
| Completion % | 51.3% | 129th | 64.7% | 114th |
| Rush yards / game | 146.3 | 81st | 171.9 | 105th |
| Yards / carry | 4.23 | 75th | 4.21 | 73rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.4% | 119th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.92 | 112th | 2.00 | 76th |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.6 | 76th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →